Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-02-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2736d63fead9b18b67a66a3ce7e5afaef871cfb4c2ab920e6c36f18b603448a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,162
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,183
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,162 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 60c | 1,281$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.73 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 961.92$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.44 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 64c | 687.03$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.6 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 60c | 686.13$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.45 | 141 | 53.2%75 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 46c | 600$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 2c | 478.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 37c | 364.76$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.45 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 43c | 251.07$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.3 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Yes | 42c | 240$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.12 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 17c | 220$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.73 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Yes | 19c | 199.53$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.91 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b35…12b3backed Yes | 17c | 170$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 57c | 117.91$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.13 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 55c | 111.11$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 164 | 54.3%89 W · 75 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 58c | 90.4$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.27 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 56c | 60.69$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.61 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Yes | 24c | 45.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f8…f40ebacked Yes | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes | 44c | 32.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca13…120dbacked No | 59c | 21.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-02-14?this page
- Will Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2026-02-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.