Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2026-02-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc22e2c9e0149f2691ef59063f24c4f9e1e1ecc7fe8cb50e97598e1cd740c3d6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,023
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,163
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,023 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 33c | 11,196$3,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,680.28 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +14.1wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 33c | 10,130$3,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,382.37 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…b988backed No | 75c | 6,768$5,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,108.44 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 60c | 4,064$2,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,626.7 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 53c | 3,986$2,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,892.56 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked No | 71c | 2,128$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 29c | 1,982$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.89 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 1c | 1,800$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yes | 67c | 1,700$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 46c | 1,624$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.21 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 33c | 1,281$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.49 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 33c | 1,045$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.99 | 141 | 53.2%75 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 11c | 1,008$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.24 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…e4efbacked No | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 17c | 589.62$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.39 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 12c | 535.93$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.45 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked No | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 23c | 463.36$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed No | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 36c | 280$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.2 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 26c | 170$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 30c | 158.89$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.23 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 74c | 151$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.26 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Yes | 29c | 137.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.57 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 55c | 136.36$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.36 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 52c | 135.03$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.24 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ae…106cbacked No | 12c | 125.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 58c | 116$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.43 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 54c | 111.07$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed No | 31c | 102$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked No | 17c | 92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 68c | 90.42$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.33 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 29c | 80.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.87 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed No | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 32c | 62.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.81 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 67c | 60.61$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed No | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Yes | 31c | 52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +5.1wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 67c | 48.97$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 32c | 44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 29c | 42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 60c | 24.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 150 | 68%102 W · 48 L | +16.7wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x939e…133cbacked No | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +11.0wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +28%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2026-02-14?this page
- Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-02-14?No won
- Will Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.