Asian League · resolved market
Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. FC Seoul end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b7cb67230df678658a40dfc3255878372bb55603b252886ba6874e0653454f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,272
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,403
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,272 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 67c | 739.27$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.59 | 1,662 | 36.2%602 W · 1,060 L | -34.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 37c | 596.77$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.55 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 59c | 580.73$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.25 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 59c | 518.64$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.29 | 1,080 | 41.7%450 W · 630 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6802…da5ebacked No | 80c | 422.68$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 80cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 70c | 299.99$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 488 | 67.8%331 W · 157 L | +68.5wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Yes | 63c | 277.14$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Yes | 30c | 233.41$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.02 | 136 | 31.6%43 W · 93 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed No | 69c | 228$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.68 | 96 | 72.9%70 W · 26 L | +19.3wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +145.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…55bebacked Yes | 31c | 225.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Yes | 30c | 206.67$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 70c | 172.46$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.79 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 52c | 167.8$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.14 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Yes | 68c | 152.35$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.69 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 39c | 146.16$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.44 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 70c | 142.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 28c | 142.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 30c | 141.51$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.45 | 1,035 | 41.6%431 W · 604 L | -33.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 60c | 134.66$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.23 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ac…dc9ebacked Yes | 67c | 134.33$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 64c | 133.47$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.89 | 723 | 42%304 W · 419 L | -29.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fca…819abacked Yes | 61c | 120.61$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 39c | 119.75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.98 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 43c | 115.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.85 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 53c | 114.35$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.39 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked No | 57c | 111.16$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.32 | 158 | 72.2%114 W · 44 L | +34.3wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +64%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Yes | 76c | 105.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 100.74$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.22 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed No | 68c | 92$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 11c | 90.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Yes | 23c | 85.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -54%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3d…3d83backed Yes | 32c | 79.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 43c | 77.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.69 | 593 | 42.5%252 W · 341 L | -28.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 35c | 75.19$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 55c | 69.62$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 29c | 69.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 44c | 64.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.11 | 201 | 65.7%132 W · 69 L | +28.2wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…9db1backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 55c | 46.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 729 | 44.2%322 W · 407 L | -29.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Yes | 31c | 45.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd83c…6b83backed Yes | 25c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Yes | 49c | 43.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…c036backed Yes | 28c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x765d…2e22backed Yes | 70c | 40.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f8…df25backed Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa79d…ee14backed No | 64c | 39.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 70c | 33.16$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 165 | 61.2%101 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb43b…f637backed Yes | 56c | 30.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 245 | 48.6%119 W · 126 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 226 | 53.5%121 W · 105 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 77c | 29.89$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 282 | 47.9%135 W · 147 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed No | 52c | 28.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…a29ebacked Yes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 70c | 26.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1,116 | 49.5%552 W · 564 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 70c | 25.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 68c | 21.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b35…12b3backed Yes | 72c | 20.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. FC Seoul end in a draw?this page
- Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-05-16?No won
- Will FC Seoul win on 2026-05-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.