Asian League · resolved market
Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-05-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1d4ffd51451b2bdca6d0ca0fc9a0c232bb91a0d028daa85655be4598fbaf3ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,849
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,931
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,849 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…e838backed No | 73c | 3,333$2,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.91 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 16c | 2,195$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.47 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 21c | 1,590$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.55 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 18c | 1,025$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.33 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 26c | 969.8$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.33 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffb…a60ebacked Yes | 9c | 574.13$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.67 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -7.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Yes | 11c | 499.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -54%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 7c | 442.39$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +45.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 69c | 379.52$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.48 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 20c | 294.46$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.89 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…55bebacked No | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes | 32c | 267.8$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.7 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 77c | 260.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 30c | 258.57$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.57 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 80c | 216.87$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.22 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…5694backed Yes | 21c | 190.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Yes | 8c | 162.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde57…1454backed Yes | 13c | 138.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 74c | 125$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 27c | 121.81$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.89 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Yes | 11c | 104.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 32c | 75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005a…1349backed No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 27c | 68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 31c | 65.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…be0abacked Yes | 26c | 53.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 67c | 42.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b4…2329backed No | 70c | 22.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 72c | 21.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 66c | 20.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…af55backed No | 70c | 20.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-05-16?this page
- Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. FC Seoul end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Seoul win on 2026-05-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.