Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a60a7abdfe79a7b72f3a87bed44412adcd650dbc2df7ce2a5e6cb3a8d3d3bf1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,652
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,063
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,652 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 75c | 4,370$3,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.78 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 3,036$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.1 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 27c | 1,781$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.05 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 17c | 1,114$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.73 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…e4efbacked No | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 15c | 683.01$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.08 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 20c | 636.65$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.81 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Yes | 6c | 599.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 18c | 543.3$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 31cpaid | -90.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 70c | 463$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.35 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 19c | 445.51$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.05 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 62c | 443.45$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.67 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 74c | 428.02$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.63 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 31c | 364$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.39 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 20c | 359$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.98 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 35c | 290$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.01 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 28c | 284.41$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.12 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 17c | 168$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 18c | 147.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 87 | 35.6%31 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 17cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03e7…5284backed Yes | 19c | 130$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf677…409ebacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Yes | 63c | 101$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.82 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 15c | 93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked No | 42c | 87$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.51 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +5.1wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 17c | 72.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 39c | 68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 20c | 60.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 39c | 58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.38 | 99 | 26.3%26 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b35…12b3backed Yes | 22c | 54.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed No | 68c | 50.8$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…a647backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-02-13?No won
- Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-02-13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.