Asian League · resolved market
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-05-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85ed84df60f3597651c9b6c57b24a73b5ee86e8fd674f7626e93be66dc9aa964
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,173
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,898
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,173 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 78c | 5,203$4,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.47 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 47c | 4,280$2,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,013.22 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 51c | 2,255$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.76 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +45.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 15c | 1,499$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.88 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 30c | 1,026$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.02 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 13c | 977$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.84 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe18…3980backed Yes | 55c | 721.25$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +112.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c72…46dbbacked Yes | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 39c | 710.64$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.04 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 75c | 688.18$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.15 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 11c | 643.78$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.69 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 11c | 639.29$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.89 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed No | 48c | 417.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes | 61c | 394.18$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.18 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 42c | 362.97$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.45 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 39c | 340.16$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.66 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…4529backed Yes | 58c | 260$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 42c | 238.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 43c | 231.24$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.36 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 44c | 227.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…cf6fbacked No | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae9f…4967backed Yes | 59c | 204.25$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…6b59backed Yes | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 44c | 180.49$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.71 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a3…801cbacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 12c | 169.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7210…521fbacked Yes | 63c | 152.38$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 67c | 145.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.7 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23ff…94f0backed Yes | 61c | 140.98$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.98 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…e6d8backed Yes | 61c | 138.77$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.77 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…9182backed Yes | 58c | 137.93$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.93 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 21c | 130.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.43 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 41c | 119.24$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 13c | 101.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 24c | 100.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked No | 34c | 99.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.38 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes | 57c | 99.33$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.33 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 42c | 84.84$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed8…3affbacked Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfddc…931abacked Yes | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 73c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 42c | 78.02$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.77 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed No | 20c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +116%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked No | 19c | 67.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 54c | 62.9$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.03 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a75…e444backed Yes | 58c | 59.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d76…517cbacked Yes | 58c | 53.55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…d6edbacked Yes | 60c | 51.41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 39c | 49.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 40c | 48.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed No | 42c | 46.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…dd8fbacked Yes | 60c | 44.46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 56c | 39.46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Yes | 59c | 38.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…b949backed Yes | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Yes | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 40c | 34.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…5828backed No | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…dc6bbacked Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Yes | 55c | 30.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Yes | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…77d4backed Yes | 59c | 28.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…01fcbacked Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed No | 40c | 27.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 75c | 26.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4760…91cdbacked Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8487…7f21backed Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ad…ae38backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed No | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8f…da09backed No | 43c | 24.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Yes | 80c | 22.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 159 | 71.1%113 W · 46 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 57c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Yes | 62c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Yes | 59c | 16.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b35…12b3backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-05-17?this page
- Will JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. Kashima Antlers end in a draw?No won
- Will JEF United Ichihara Chiba win on 2026-05-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.