Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Fire Flux Esports vs CGN Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Group B

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b18b44b0f1842772ed5b1dde8ffa3ebbecd081926d8b5321f1b7e103286f036

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Fire Flux Esportsof Fire Flux Esports, CGN Esports
Resolved: Jul 8, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $11,933
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $13,241

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,933 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Valorant
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xfdc0…4b85backed CGN Esports	64c	2,302$1,473 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,473.16	931	48.1%448 W · 483 L	-11.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e8…0105backed Fire Flux Esports	36c	1,715$617 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,097.79	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	-3.1wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdaff…5cb1backed CGN Esports	2c	999.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	22	4.5%1 W · 21 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-92.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Fire Flux Esports	34c	999.99$340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$659.99	867	47.5%412 W · 455 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Fire Flux Esports	36c	819.44$295 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$524.59	59	52.5%31 W · 28 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcaeb…92f6backed CGN Esports	64c	808.33$517 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$517.33	38	34.2%13 W · 25 L	-4.5wins	-0.12per pick	46cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Fire Flux Esports	39c	776.7$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$476.7	297	33.3%99 W · 198 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a05…4c5abacked Fire Flux Esports	73c	763$560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$203.43	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	+47.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbf6b…ca87backed CGN Esports	2c	578.89$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.58	21	0%0 W · 21 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x738b…7579backed Fire Flux Esports	61c	367.93$224 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.06	27	63%17 W · 10 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	59cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa390…c7d9backed Fire Flux Esports	28c	343.86$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$246.44	79	20.3%16 W · 63 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	25cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked CGN Esports	50c	337.87$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.66	70	44.3%31 W · 39 L	-3.8wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked CGN Esports	10c	264$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.16	556	37.6%209 W · 347 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked CGN Esports	31c	247.23$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.64	509	44.6%227 W · 282 L	-9.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6376…d0a7backed CGN Esports	51c	229.74$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.59	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked CGN Esports	65c	219.01$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.19	1,376	47.1%648 W · 728 L	+10.6wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked CGN Esports	38c	207.42$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.56	225	39.1%88 W · 137 L	-10.6wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb7e…9546backed CGN Esports	49c	169.41$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.47	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+23.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x5747…7fdfbacked CGN Esports	65c	154.48$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	628	56.4%354 W · 274 L	-10.6wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed CGN Esports	51c	135$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.79	811	34.9%283 W · 528 L	-60.9wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed CGN Esports	65c	118.8$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.22	634	47.9%304 W · 330 L	-13.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked CGN Esports	36c	115.41$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.26	907	33.1%300 W · 607 L	-89.7wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked CGN Esports	65c	103.44$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.52	601	54.2%326 W · 275 L	+24.0wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Fire Flux Esports	48c	102.11$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.04	848	38.2%324 W · 524 L	-50.5wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked CGN Esports	62c	100.6$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.37	344	43.3%149 W · 195 L	-14.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked Fire Flux Esports	34c	100.11$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.31	130	43.8%57 W · 73 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed CGN Esports	64c	100$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	54	44.4%24 W · 30 L	-5.5wins	-0.10per pick	55cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7815…ade8backed CGN Esports	68c	99.99$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.99	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.2wins	-0.62per pick	62cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x88ee…054abacked Fire Flux Esports	21c	99.99$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.99	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.79per pick	21cpaid	+376.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1967…30b5backed CGN Esports	62c	91.88$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.01	134	46.3%62 W · 72 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Fire Flux Esports	58c	84$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.32	998	46%459 W · 539 L	-27.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fb1…b109backed Fire Flux Esports	30c	80$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.71	182	54.4%99 W · 83 L	+22.3wins	+0.12per pick	42cpaid	+27.9%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xfc38…d93fbacked CGN Esports	65c	79.85$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.26	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	-2.3wins	-0.08per pick	56cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad2c…4eecbacked CGN Esports	66c	75.43$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.52	205	53.2%109 W · 96 L	-5.9wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e8c…500abacked Fire Flux Esports	36c	72.21$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.21	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	+1.9wins	+0.08per pick	39cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked CGN Esports	73c	70$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.1	402	54.7%220 W · 182 L	+17.7wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Fire Flux Esports	46c	68.64$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.03	237	32.9%78 W · 159 L	-20.7wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xade6…c465backed CGN Esports	64c	65$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.6	653	47.3%309 W · 344 L	-18.2wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9267…5696backed Fire Flux Esports	75c	57.38$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.45	19	84.2%16 W · 3 L	+2.3wins	+0.12per pick	72cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked CGN Esports	45c	57$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.51	1,358	39%530 W · 828 L	-57.9wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-17%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c8c…2d81backed CGN Esports	43c	55.94$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.15	143	45.5%65 W · 78 L	-5.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed CGN Esports	54c	54$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.22	88	39.8%35 W · 53 L	-4.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x00d2…fe64backed Fire Flux Esports	35c	50.97$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.13	202	48.5%98 W · 104 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked CGN Esports	65c	50$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.5	337	53.1%179 W · 158 L	+16.8wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed CGN Esports	64c	50$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	666	50.8%338 W · 328 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked CGN Esports	62c	50$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	125	50.4%63 W · 62 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b89…9183backed CGN Esports	66c	39.21$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.88	33	54.5%18 W · 15 L	-3.2wins	-0.10per pick	64cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked CGN Esports	52c	35.41$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.32	287	43.2%124 W · 163 L	-5.3wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90b3…4998backed Fire Flux Esports	80c	35.21$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.21	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Fire Flux Esports	46c	35$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.92	962	45.1%434 W · 528 L	-18.9wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x180a…bd66backed CGN Esports	73c	34.26$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	39	51.3%20 W · 19 L	-5.0wins	-0.13per pick	64cpaid	-21%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8a3d…13dabacked Fire Flux Esports	35c	33.01$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.46	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-1.8wins	-0.08per pick	38cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x59d8…ad87backed CGN Esports	61c	32.79$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	42	50%21 W · 21 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed CGN Esports	69c	25.64$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.59	930	49.4%459 W · 471 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Fire Flux Esports	52c	22$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.56	1,247	49.6%619 W · 628 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Fire Flux Esports	48c	21.48$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.27	1,601	37.5%600 W · 1,001 L	-75.0wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0248…f219backed CGN Esports	65c	16.25$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.58	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9254…e161backed CGN Esports	69c	15.9$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.5wins	-0.74per pick	74cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed CGN Esports	79c	14.21$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.18	148	50.7%75 W · 73 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Valorant: Fire Flux Esports vs CGN Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Group Bthis page
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: CGN Esports (-2.5) vs Fire Flux Esports (+2.5)Fire Flux Esports won
Valorant: Fire Flux Esports vs CGN Esports - Map 2 WinnerFire Flux Esports won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Valorant: Fire Flux Esports vs CGN Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Group B

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event