Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: VARREL vs Global Esports - Map 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda0a7f2200a8d548cdea7e0102a3511ebba29ca3928ad63ce5f48dd535aca03a

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Global Esportsof VARREL, Global Esports
Resolved: Aug 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $27,635
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $32,146

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,635 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Valorant
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5b63…11a4backed Global Esports	74c	4,071$3,012 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,058.82	551	42.3%233 W · 318 L	-13.4wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked VARREL	26c	1,657$431 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$430.73	1,428	51.2%731 W · 697 L	+48.8wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xafcb…df99backed Global Esports	72c	1,486$1,075 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$410.46	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.28per pick	72cpaid	+38.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04d2…4850backed VARREL	26c	1,448$379 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$379.16	147	51%75 W · 72 L	+13.0wins	+0.09per pick	42cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Global Esports	55c	1,257$696 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$561.3	943	49.5%467 W · 476 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x59cb…57d1backed VARREL	59c	847.46$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	51	51%26 W · 25 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b6a…9fb9backed VARREL	38c	825$313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$313.5	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x34ec…2711backed VARREL	47c	763.71$361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360.68	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked VARREL	47c	737.62$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$349.68	169	46.7%79 W · 90 L	-5.8wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb1…aebabacked VARREL	47c	553.34$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.09	50	44%22 W · 28 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed VARREL	21c	500$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	224	17.9%40 W · 184 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Global Esports	55c	347.22$191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.25	16	68.8%11 W · 5 L	+2.7wins	+0.17per pick	52cpaid	+38.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked VARREL	52c	344.67$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.23	73	45.2%33 W · 40 L	-3.7wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa058…c0ddbacked VARREL	46c	337.85$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.42	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked VARREL	45c	335$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.75	293	42.3%124 W · 169 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3252…1d21backed VARREL	35c	310$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.7	106	42.5%45 W · 61 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fda…330cbacked Global Esports	73c	300$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.73	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.7wins	-0.28per pick	62cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6bd5…81b0backed VARREL	28c	298.26$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.45	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-2.5wins	-0.16per pick	28cpaid	-65.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Global Esports	52c	289.75$151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.08	938	48%450 W · 488 L	-12.4wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91a2…e415backed VARREL	47c	284$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.48	60	53.3%32 W · 28 L	+3.7wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda29…f4b8backed Global Esports	76c	267.42$202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.98	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.36per pick	64cpaid	+58.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed VARREL	18c	258.37$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.29	608	22.9%139 W · 469 L	-25.9wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c3d…5d2fbacked Global Esports	78c	248.99$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.7	7	100%7 W · 0 L	+2.0wins	+0.28per pick	72cpaid	+42.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5179…4eecbacked Global Esports	50c	235.05$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.1	183	43.2%79 W · 104 L	-6.5wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked VARREL	25c	222.94$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.82	1,619	45.1%730 W · 889 L	-25.5wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b16…9f80backed Global Esports	64c	217.88$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.83	185	61.1%113 W · 72 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cc6…4593backed VARREL	46c	208.63$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.88	52	44.2%23 W · 29 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked VARREL	17c	208$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.63	1,370	39%534 W · 836 L	-59.1wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked VARREL	21c	202.7$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.62	1,614	37.5%605 W · 1,009 L	-75.9wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-27%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed Global Esports	77c	200$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46	229	49.8%114 W · 115 L	+14.2wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a05…4c5abacked VARREL	13c	200$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x903c…02febacked VARREL	24c	200$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed VARREL	27c	167$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.44	39	28.2%11 W · 28 L	-5.9wins	-0.15per pick	43cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Global Esports	68c	162.11$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.17	581	50.8%295 W · 286 L	+15.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b5f…3492backed Global Esports	74c	142.69$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.1	351	53.8%189 W · 162 L	-4.4wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Global Esports	58c	135.6$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.84	1,261	49.6%625 W · 636 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…bdebbacked VARREL	11c	128.42$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.13	52	15.4%8 W · 44 L	-8.0wins	-0.15per pick	31cpaid	-50.3%equal weight	38-0.10 edge/pick
0xe32a…cd33backed VARREL	58c	114.2$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.05	438	59.1%259 W · 179 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e19…e1e8backed Global Esports	45c	113.15$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.23	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	60cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb3e…1fbbbacked Global Esports	76c	111$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.64	63	33.3%21 W · 42 L	-5.8wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x01f7…9130backed VARREL	53c	109.75$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.8wins	+0.36per pick	44cpaid	+93.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x22e5…1d60backed Global Esports	66c	106.09$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.09	6	50%3 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbcda…5e95backed Global Esports	51c	101.15$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.54	119	57.1%68 W · 51 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc2…8b9bbacked VARREL	45c	100$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	113	48.7%55 W · 58 L	-7.4wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Global Esports	44c	99.99$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56	54	51.9%28 W · 26 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9133…20acbacked VARREL	58c	99.99$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.52	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	-7.2wins	-0.26per pick	54cpaid	-45%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0x3a6f…087dbacked Global Esports	70c	99.17$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.75	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.30per pick	70cpaid	+42.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xceae…8e45backed VARREL	51c	95.67$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+2.1wins	+0.13per pick	43cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2f9…db30backed VARREL	49c	89.72$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.97	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Global Esports	68c	87.57$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.22	790	44.3%350 W · 440 L	-20.1wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked VARREL	41c	80.75$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.11	92	51.1%47 W · 45 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cf5…1095backed Global Esports	71c	77.27$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.34	124	71.8%89 W · 35 L	+9.5wins	+0.08per pick	64cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Global Esports	66c	75.89$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.5	709	43.6%309 W · 400 L	-14.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dea…e294backed Global Esports	60c	73$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.2	48	47.9%23 W · 25 L	+2.7wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3596…d91cbacked Global Esports	60c	69.42$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.77	84	71.4%60 W · 24 L	+7.7wins	+0.09per pick	62cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4bed…5cd6backed VARREL	27c	66.33$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.91	28	32.1%9 W · 19 L	-4.3wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Global Esports	63c	65.48$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.27	902	44.3%400 W · 502 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb66e…ffc2backed Global Esports	48c	62.19$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.34	27	37%10 W · 17 L	-2.5wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b55…cbc6backed Global Esports	48c	62.19$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.34	48	56.3%27 W · 21 L	+3.3wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked VARREL	24c	60.31$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.74	918	33%303 W · 615 L	-91.4wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7d33…6715backed VARREL	31c	60$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.6	74	39.2%29 W · 45 L	-4.0wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc800…4117backed VARREL	49c	55$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.83	39	48.7%19 W · 20 L	+3.0wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb75b…e377backed VARREL	49c	51.23$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.1	122	54.1%66 W · 56 L	+7.8wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e89…2d4ebacked Global Esports	51c	50.65$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.82	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+100.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe2cc…893cbacked VARREL	31c	49.23$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.49	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.3wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed VARREL	46c	48.67$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.18	413	46.5%192 W · 221 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed VARREL	38c	47.84$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.26	1,503	46.5%699 W · 804 L	-18.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeca9…1799backed Global Esports	44c	45.45$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.45	54	46.3%25 W · 29 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c8c…2d81backed Global Esports	49c	44$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.26	149	45.6%68 W · 81 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked VARREL	43c	42.11$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.98	334	56.3%188 W · 146 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Global Esports	62c	40.6$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.27	517	44.7%231 W · 286 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9e1…ba1fbacked VARREL	50c	40.16$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.08	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5439…c45bbacked Global Esports	75c	40$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	5	100%5 W · 0 L	+1.4wins	+0.27per pick	73cpaid	+38.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc222…f6ccbacked Global Esports	41c	38.66$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.81	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+18.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa8…093dbacked VARREL	54c	36.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	30	60%18 W · 12 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	63cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ce…3f1dbacked VARREL	56c	35.71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	37	67.6%25 W · 12 L	+4.0wins	+0.11per pick	57cpaid	+19%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x13bd…a6c5backed Global Esports	48c	31.1$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.17	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+2.5wins	+0.15per pick	50cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x61f8…b0e5backed Global Esports	48c	31.1$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.17	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bb6…ba42backed Global Esports	77c	30$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.23per pick	77cpaid	+30.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc064…6fa8backed Global Esports	54c	29.63$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.63	145	54.5%79 W · 66 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa658…f93ebacked Global Esports	74c	27.03$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.03	281	61.2%172 W · 109 L	-8.3wins	-0.03per pick	64cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc1d…9332backed Global Esports	59c	25.62$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.62	30	56.7%17 W · 13 L	+3.3wins	+0.11per pick	46cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6f0c…a691backed Global Esports	47c	22.99$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.07	106	45.3%48 W · 58 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x924d…6cb9backed Global Esports	48c	21.77$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.32	30	56.7%17 W · 13 L	+2.5wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked Global Esports	61c	19$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.41	118	45.8%54 W · 64 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Global Esports	75c	19$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.83	824	35%288 W · 536 L	-61.3wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0ccf…f1e1backed Global Esports	75c	13.65$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.37	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.33per pick	67cpaid	+52.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Valorant: VARREL vs Global Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
Map Handicap: GE (-1.5) vs VARREL (+1.5)Global Esports won
Valorant: VARREL vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific PlayoffsGlobal Esports won
Valorant: VARREL vs Global Esports - Map 2 WinnerGlobal Esports won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Valorant: VARREL vs Global Esports - Map 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event