TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfaa8…093d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
66
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 52 out of 100; worst Lol at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT3262.5%20 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Open Qualifier Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs INOX Division (BO1) - IEM Beijing: Global Open Qualifier Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
Counter-Strike: Morningstar vs Rare Atom (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Asian Open Qualifier Playoffsbacked Rare Atom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+33%+$8.25
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+37.7%+$7.53
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.81
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$20.71
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+64.9%+$22.72
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.23
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.81
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.44
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$5.03
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.76
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT2560%15 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.59
Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs KRÜ Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$15.47
Valorant: BBL Esports vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Fire Flux Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
Valorant: Enterprise Esports vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Valorant: JD Gaming vs TYLOO (BO5) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$24.55
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs TYLOO - Map 3 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$5.12
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Valorant: Enterprise Esports vs Karmine Corp - Map 2 Winnerbacked Enterprise Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.43
Valorant: TYLOO vs Nova Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.27
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.97
Valorant: Trace Esports vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked Trace Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alphabacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Valorant: Nova Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed Decidersbacked Nova Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$4.61
Valorant: JD Gaming vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed Decidersbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+33.1%+$6.62
Valorant: FUT Esports vs BBL Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed Decidersbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.9
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alphabacked FunPlus Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$10.99
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Nova Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alphabacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.69
Valorant: JD Gaming vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alphabacked Trace Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.31
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Valorant: All Gamers vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
All 25 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.7%+$10.45
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.