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Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: VARREL vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Global Esportsof VARREL, Global Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$177,628
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$193,883

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $177,628 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 248 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd30…f316backed Global Esports58c37,903$21,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,098.45733.3%19 W · 38 L-7.9wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-35.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8660…93edbacked VARREL42c35,131$14,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,903.7118548.6%90 W · 95 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa4d…0bd2backed Global Esports57c20,038$11,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,516.494100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4980…5709backed VARREL31c11,403$3,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,570.1833245.5%151 W · 181 L+52.7wins+0.16per pick30cpaid+38.8%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked VARREL43c10,340$4,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,467.3330141.2%124 W · 177 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed VARREL42c10,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,20013649.3%67 W · 69 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Global Esports58c10,000$5,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,199.979553.7%51 W · 44 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x65c1…2988backed Global Esports55c9,309$5,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,194.426854.1%145 W · 123 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Global Esports57c7,036$4,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,995.9220761.4%127 W · 80 L+20.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+22.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked Global Esports54c6,517$3,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,992.731735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Global Esports57c6,000$3,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,580771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+26%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4800…557cbacked VARREL46c5,466$2,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,513633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cb0…57e0backed Global Esports58c4,500$2,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,898.124562.2%28 W · 17 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+22.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked VARREL42c3,978$1,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,670.654751.1%24 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Global Esports66c3,601$2,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,212.0229956.5%169 W · 130 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed VARREL42c3,497$1,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,468.6326249.6%130 W · 132 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Global Esports69c3,002$2,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931.0755442.2%234 W · 320 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Global Esports58c2,586$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,086.2136157.6%208 W · 153 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Global Esports57c2,500$1,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,074.9817352.6%91 W · 82 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed VARREL44c2,418$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,060.119339.9%77 W · 116 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed VARREL42c2,143$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.23per pick34cpaid-67.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed VARREL42c1,965$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.486627.3%18 W · 48 L-7.8wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-34%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed VARREL38c1,932$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.4247126.8%126 W · 345 L-26.2wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-38.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked VARREL31c1,917$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.351,43451.1%733 W · 701 L+48.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed Global Esports58c1,916$1,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.523265.6%21 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked VARREL43c1,769$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.791,27149.6%630 W · 641 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed VARREL44c1,655$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.0229045.2%131 W · 159 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Global Esports59c1,600$944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.994772.3%34 W · 13 L+9.0wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+37.6%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed VARREL43c1,530$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.948747%229 W · 258 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb770…3f81backed VARREL28c1,523$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.882725.9%7 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2eba…0f3abacked VARREL43c1,500$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.9820850.5%105 W · 103 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Global Esports78c1,489$1,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.6442747.1%201 W · 226 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad08…c58bbacked VARREL42c1,488$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.96728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb758…4699backed Global Esports62c1,458$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.779953.5%53 W · 46 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa57e…ed54backed VARREL42c1,183$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4973023.3%7 W · 23 L-5.1wins-0.17per pick40cpaid-53.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x81d1…4806backed Global Esports58c1,165$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.289262%57 W · 35 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d90…2512backed VARREL18c1,131$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.261040%4 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick32cpaid-26.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked VARREL42c1,111$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.6255852.2%291 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed VARREL42c1,100$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.9939842%167 W · 231 L+17.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd76b…e9d5backed Global Esports77c1,073$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.491540%6 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-35.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7757…cf9ebacked VARREL42c1,050$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.01250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09c6…291ebacked VARREL48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-32%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed VARREL43c1,003$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.7925746.7%120 W · 137 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed VARREL42c999.99$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4209439.4%37 W · 57 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb75b…e377backed VARREL41c999.99$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40712353.7%66 W · 57 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x74bd…d371backed VARREL21c960.97$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.830%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x920a…29e0backed VARREL41c902.98$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.222334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed VARREL43c870.24$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.12616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-73.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e77…6d85backed Global Esports63c849.7$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked VARREL17c846.46$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.6590744.4%403 W · 504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked VARREL43c801.67$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.728543.5%37 W · 48 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked Global Esports57c777$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.111070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+43.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed VARREL42c747.88$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.119843.9%43 W · 55 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-11.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2829…12a0backed VARREL42c683.72$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.1630%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed VARREL43c665.74$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.534734%16 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x32bf…ec60backed VARREL12c609.17$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7220546.3%95 W · 110 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc708…a968backed VARREL41c605.06$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.0750%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x98ba…4212backed VARREL43c581.4$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505347.2%25 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3090…be73backed VARREL43c559.99$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.392250%11 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb978…fac0backed VARREL45c557.74$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-38%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Global Esports56c556.22$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.746665.2%43 W · 23 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0328…bd17backed Global Esports73c547.5$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.57959.5%47 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9152…abfbbacked Global Esports61c542.48$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39c9…7debbacked Global Esports56c538.93$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.137455.4%41 W · 33 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+20.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcd21…8cdabacked VARREL18c538.29$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dc2…698abacked Global Esports69c511.75$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.69250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cd2…648cbacked VARREL43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2156350.8%32 W · 31 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8e…37d1backed VARREL20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003831.6%12 W · 26 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b78…e589backed VARREL35c499.99$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+39.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a4a…3da9backed VARREL42c497.66$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.9860%0 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed VARREL43c476.19$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.765158.8%30 W · 21 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed VARREL44c454.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019447.9%93 W · 101 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d35…b406backed VARREL20c411.7$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.345841.4%24 W · 34 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d39…5408backed Global Esports57c400$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1721283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+39.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaf46…24babacked VARREL42c393$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.06250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked VARREL44c374$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.8261253.9%330 W · 282 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf99…9840backed Global Esports56c349.99$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.9918949.2%93 W · 96 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Global Esports59c349.12$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.142176.2%16 W · 5 L+4.5wins+0.21per pick55cpaid+43.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked VARREL48c346.68$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.4135247.2%166 W · 186 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2035…dc1cbacked VARREL43c346.59$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.344546.7%21 W · 24 L+5.6wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+28.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5179…4eecbacked Global Esports59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.9819344.6%86 W · 107 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5440…f13bbacked VARREL46c329.09$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.086053.3%32 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde4b…1222backed VARREL45c309.98$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.494562.2%28 W · 17 L+7.0wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+31.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbf33…0353backed VARREL42c307.68$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13034746.1%160 W · 187 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed VARREL41c300$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12394648.1%455 W · 491 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…70e3backed VARREL45c300$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.387052.9%37 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc104…e684backed Global Esports55c299.99$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1351844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed VARREL44c295.52$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.211136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97f2…d56fbacked Global Esports56c284.55$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.251376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.17per pick60cpaid+26.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x197f…7cc5backed Global Esports55c272.73$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.738749.4%43 W · 44 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked VARREL40c263.22$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.8511646.6%54 W · 62 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked VARREL42c263.04$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.4885737.9%325 W · 532 L-53.2wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-25%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf247…d8cabacked Global Esports58c257.19$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.053737.8%14 W · 23 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-31.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed VARREL31c253.72$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1250555%278 W · 227 L+22.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Global Esports75c253.11$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.051,39647.3%661 W · 735 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdbb…a2cdbacked VARREL25c252.33$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.986041.7%25 W · 35 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x689f…259cbacked Global Esports54c250.12$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.931533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-34.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0eb…990fbacked Global Esports56c246.07$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.96250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8d3…c0d1backed VARREL12c245.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3022956.8%130 W · 99 L+11.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked VARREL40c231.93$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.031,61937.5%607 W · 1,012 L-75.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-27%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.