Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: VARREL vs Global Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13a831fc4d164423a3f4f35a6b218f45ce35a646809fcc969c8cc530fd22fb51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Global Esportsof VARREL, Global Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,221
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,387
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,221 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa4fd…748bbacked Global Esports | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked VARREL | 39c | 6,574$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,579.72 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91a2…e415backed VARREL | 41c | 3,894$1,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581.36 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x628f…b212backed Global Esports | 62c | 2,306$1,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.6 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Global Esports | 67c | 1,124$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.11 | 943 | 49.5%467 W · 476 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa058…c0ddbacked VARREL | 32c | 1,044$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked VARREL | 38c | 1,033$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.57 | 540 | 55.4%299 W · 241 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed Global Esports | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed VARREL | 38c | 999.99$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +36.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd052…563dbacked VARREL | 42c | 907.15$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed VARREL | 41c | 833.99$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.62 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57ce…aceebacked Global Esports | 65c | 680.21$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.78 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked VARREL | 29c | 612.38$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.81 | 902 | 44.3%400 W · 502 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…b91dbacked VARREL | 40c | 600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eba…0f3abacked VARREL | 40c | 552.31$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.92 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Global Esports | 75c | 515.83$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.32 | 413 | 46.5%192 W · 221 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x333d…e8b7backed VARREL | 40c | 474$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Global Esports | 60c | 451.39$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.28 | 1,261 | 49.6%625 W · 636 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed VARREL | 40c | 434.48$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.48 | 540 | 41.9%226 W · 314 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed VARREL | 16c | 406.68$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.07 | 551 | 42.3%233 W · 318 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed VARREL | 13c | 399.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 224 | 17.9%40 W · 184 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e19…e1e8backed Global Esports | 78c | 360.99$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.59 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…4eecbacked Global Esports | 64c | 359.3$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.35 | 183 | 43.2%79 W · 104 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Global Esports | 60c | 200$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 393 | 48.1%189 W · 204 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…4593backed VARREL | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd5…81b0backed Global Esports | 57c | 182.86$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.63 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Global Esports | 71c | 181.91$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 1,503 | 46.5%699 W · 804 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e5…1d60backed Global Esports | 59c | 173.19$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcda…5e95backed Global Esports | 62c | 156.05$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.3 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Global Esports | 77c | 133.16$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 1,386 | 47.3%655 W · 731 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…d954backed VARREL | 40c | 130$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed03…1caabacked VARREL | 40c | 128$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d3…c0d1backed VARREL | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 224 | 57.6%129 W · 95 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Global Esports | 69c | 119.98$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.71 | 1,318 | 43.9%578 W · 740 L | -44.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Global Esports | 64c | 116.13$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.78 | 1,619 | 45.1%730 W · 889 L | -25.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked VARREL | 23c | 105$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 517 | 44.7%231 W · 286 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3596…d91cbacked Global Esports | 59c | 103.21$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.83 | 84 | 71.4%60 W · 24 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked VARREL | 19c | 103$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 1,614 | 37.5%605 W · 1,009 L | -75.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed VARREL | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9133…20acbacked VARREL | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -7.2wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -45%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed VARREL | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.43 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…4c5abacked VARREL | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc222…f6ccbacked Global Esports | 60c | 92.05$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Global Esports | 73c | 83.54$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.18 | 754 | 42.8%323 W · 431 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Global Esports | 70c | 81.14$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 790 | 44.3%350 W · 440 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked Global Esports | 59c | 81$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.21 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed VARREL | 13c | 81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 608 | 22.9%139 W · 469 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Global Esports | 75c | 62.28$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 409 | 55%225 W · 184 L | +18.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…cd33backed VARREL | 41c | 51.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 438 | 59.1%259 W · 179 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked VARREL | 39c | 49.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed VARREL | 38c | 46.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 658 | 47.3%311 W · 347 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed VARREL | 38c | 45.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Global Esports | 57c | 42.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.01 | 474 | 46.8%222 W · 252 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked VARREL | 33c | 39.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb87…4611backed Global Esports | 62c | 39.52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…cc76backed Global Esports | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a18…dac8backed Global Esports | 62c | 33.08$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa50a…4e2ebacked Global Esports | 79c | 29.25$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1d…9332backed Global Esports | 60c | 26.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked VARREL | 42c | 25.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 334 | 56.3%188 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Global Esports | 77c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 581 | 50.8%295 W · 286 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Global Esports | 78c | 19.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: VARREL vs Global Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: GE (-1.5) vs VARREL (+1.5)Global Esports won
- Valorant: VARREL vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific PlayoffsGlobal Esports won
- Valorant: VARREL vs Global Esports - Map 1 WinnerGlobal Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.