NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Celtics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x182b8e71932db7c698e08442fe260ec6ed5b7647b82fba898fe79c5f82dff3a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Pistons, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $360,424
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $374,932
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $360,424 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x79ed…21abbacked Pistons | 17c | 49,988$8,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,498.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Pistons | 2c | 20,195$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.47 | 228 | 32%73 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Pistons | 14c | 13,787$1,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,955.6 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Pistons | 15c | 12,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.99 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Pistons | 14c | 11,400$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.98 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Pistons | 0c | 10,148$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x002b…1927backed Pistons | 13c | 10,068$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec2…826bbacked Pistons | 8c | 8,918$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.15 | 58 | 20.7%12 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bed…43b2backed Pistons | 14c | 7,922$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.08 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Pistons | 3c | 7,802$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.11 | 251 | 38.6%97 W · 154 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Pistons | 15c | 6,386$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.85 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pistons | 16c | 5,980$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.42 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d75…4310backed Pistons | 17c | 5,485$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Pistons | 1c | 5,000$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Pistons | 15c | 4,842$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.12 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Pistons | 15c | 4,475$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.18 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6c…9a92backed Pistons | 16c | 4,210$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Pistons | 2c | 3,454$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.71 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Pistons | 9c | 3,292$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.14 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Celtics | 76c | 3,163$2,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.39 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Pistons | 3c | 3,095$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.85 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Pistons | 16c | 3,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Pistons | 16c | 2,683$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.35 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Celtics | 77c | 2,600$1,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.65 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0f…da3abacked Pistons | 14c | 2,510$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Pistons | 15c | 2,473$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.06 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Pistons | 11c | 2,455$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.05 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Pistons | 5c | 2,396$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.42 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6a…5726backed Pistons | 13c | 2,386$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.82 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eae…a3f0backed Pistons | 12c | 1,702$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.23 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bf…d806backed Pistons | 14c | 1,686$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.08 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb370…0cb0backed Celtics | 62c | 1,367$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.51 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Pistons | 16c | 1,334$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.94 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Pistons | 14c | 1,135$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.87 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Pistons | 13c | 1,098$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.26 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Pistons | 13c | 1,084$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.95 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Pistons | 18c | 1,082$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Pistons | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa492…d264backed Pistons | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Pistons | 13c | 969.99$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.57 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Pistons | 15c | 900$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.6 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3106…4a1fbacked Pistons | 15c | 767$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.05 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecb8…c405backed Pistons | 2c | 745.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf51…2037backed Pistons | 16c | 720.88$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Pistons | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…c3d6backed Celtics | 67c | 700$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x526b…1a25backed Pistons | 12c | 700$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1875…eb5ebacked Pistons | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7618…ff2cbacked Pistons | 14c | 630$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Pistons | 7c | 586.31$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.14 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad1…b2f4backed Pistons | 18c | 557.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.28 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f6…5669backed Pistons | 14c | 528.57$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ea…969bbacked Pistons | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58fa…2543backed Pistons | 14c | 499.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x273b…37fcbacked Pistons | 13c | 499.97$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da9…fbcfbacked Pistons | 5c | 460.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Pistons | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 563 | 48.5%273 W · 290 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99a…f77dbacked Pistons | 14c | 399.01$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Pistons | 13c | 379.05$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcb…f0c8backed Pistons | 14c | 370.34$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a85…78e3backed Pistons | 15c | 368.27$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a79…42f8backed Pistons | 15c | 343.44$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…2dd9backed Pistons | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Pistons | 15c | 325$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 367 | 47.7%175 W · 192 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Pistons | 15c | 318.42$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.76 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1772…bb32backed Pistons | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f63…ea2dbacked Pistons | 15c | 308.07$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.21 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8167…3051backed Pistons | 14c | 296$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab4b…52c4backed Pistons | 11c | 281.71$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x610d…188bbacked Pistons | 15c | 280$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 186 | 28%52 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Pistons | 4c | 260$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa249…f2f3backed Pistons | 10c | 255$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x938c…d5e5backed Pistons | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 152 | 37.5%57 W · 95 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6387…d1c2backed Pistons | 13c | 244.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Pistons | 16c | 228.21$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 404 | 48.3%195 W · 209 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Pistons | 18c | 222.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Pistons | 18c | 221.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abd…a869backed Pistons | 14c | 217.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf33…4eacbacked Pistons | 9c | 211.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Pistons | 11c | 206.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 191 | 37.7%72 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fd…541dbacked Pistons | 15c | 203.75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba8…0db7backed Pistons | 15c | 186.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…280dbacked Pistons | 11c | 179.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Pistons | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 336 | 38.1%128 W · 208 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d7…676fbacked Celtics | 59c | 146.63$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.12 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a57…c233backed Pistons | 16c | 143.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Pistons | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d08…0080backed Pistons | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…1b79backed Pistons | 14c | 138.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 18cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf501…d663backed Pistons | 15c | 130$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…df9dbacked Pistons | 14c | 128.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5d…16f9backed Pistons | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cab…b256backed Pistons | 14c | 115$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc586…35d7backed Pistons | 14c | 114.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 39cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe84b…577dbacked Pistons | 14c | 114.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2524…5a3dbacked Pistons | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa715…15e2backed Pistons | 17c | 104.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Pistons | 15c | 102.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 216 | 5.6%12 W · 204 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39bd…1027backed Pistons | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…018abacked Pistons | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 108 | 33.3%36 W · 72 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.