NBA · resolved market

Wizards vs. Magic

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f4165b1295cc60eb23a9698a4ef82bf2bf4d2dd8f2771c62b5bcced974f427c

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Magicof Wizards, Magic
Resolved: Feb 24, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $220,981
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $227,136

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $220,981 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd3b1…6f55backed Wizards	16c	39,998$6,438 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,438.06	202	38.6%78 W · 124 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Wizards	14c	24,608$3,399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,399.03	125	40%50 W · 75 L	-9.4wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda6b…20bebacked Wizards	19c	13,174$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	83	43.4%36 W · 47 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Wizards	13c	11,867$1,543 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,542.68	478	48.1%230 W · 248 L	-9.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards	16c	8,050$1,288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,288	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Wizards	17c	7,775$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300	475	42.3%201 W · 274 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Wizards	17c	5,193$898 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$898.08	345	32.8%113 W · 232 L	-16.9wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Wizards	15c	5,000$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	283	47.7%135 W · 148 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa27b…5d5cbacked Wizards	16c	4,633$760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$759.64	204	47.1%96 W · 108 L	-6.7wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc254…b899backed Wizards	17c	3,082$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	61	21.3%13 W · 48 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Magic	79c	3,008$2,371 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$637.1	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Wizards	15c	3,000$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	406	27.8%113 W · 293 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ad4…dc12backed Wizards	16c	2,428$398 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$398.26	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+26.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed Wizards	22c	2,273$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	105	33.3%35 W · 70 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Wizards	1c	2,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1,277	2.3%29 W · 1,248 L	-11.7wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-84%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07dc…14a2backed Wizards	20c	1,793$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73f0…3d28backed Wizards	15c	1,500$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225	364	34.9%127 W · 237 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Wizards	1c	1,466$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.47	750	2%15 W · 735 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Wizards	17c	1,182$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	140	40%56 W · 84 L	+10.4wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Wizards	17c	1,176$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	1,888	37.3%704 W · 1,184 L	+9.9wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Wizards	16c	1,169$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.17	303	31.4%95 W · 208 L	-8.8wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x830d…3f0ebacked Wizards	15c	1,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	165	32.1%53 W · 112 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fe8…56a3backed Wizards	15c	1,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	321	30.2%97 W · 224 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b89…693dbacked Wizards	15c	1,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+1.3wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Wizards	15c	999.89$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.98	686	42.1%289 W · 397 L	+9.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Wizards	1c	984.01$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.82	376	27.9%105 W · 271 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Wizards	18c	978.95$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.18	319	35.1%112 W · 207 L	-7.8wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf94…51ccbacked Wizards	17c	882.35$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd9e…db11backed Wizards	14c	825$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.75	44	34.1%15 W · 29 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Wizards	8c	770.09$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.31	398	43.5%173 W · 225 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Wizards	18c	702.68$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	269	34.9%94 W · 175 L	-9.1wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe35…d34abacked Wizards	14c	692.43$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.94	88	23.9%21 W · 67 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c56…5a66backed Wizards	15c	666.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	110	40.9%45 W · 65 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3603…ac36backed Wizards	16c	640.94$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	113	55.8%63 W · 50 L	+10.2wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+18.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe327…b22bbacked Wizards	19c	636.91$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.8	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	27cpaid	+29.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x14dd…13eebacked Wizards	3c	528.1$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.84	48	2.1%1 W · 47 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	6cpaid	-67%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x938c…d5e5backed Wizards	15c	503$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.45	152	37.5%57 W · 95 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94eb…37e6backed Magic	79c	500$395 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105	51	56.9%29 W · 22 L	-5.2wins	-0.10per pick	67cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xed91…4bd6backed Wizards	15c	500$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	63	34.9%22 W · 41 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffb8…646dbacked Wizards	15c	400$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	107	20.6%22 W · 85 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33dc…415ebacked Wizards	15c	400$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	316	31.6%100 W · 216 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Wizards	15c	383.81$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.56	1,554	37.3%579 W · 975 L	-48.1wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Wizards	15c	367.53$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.13	370	11.4%42 W · 328 L	-6.2wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Wizards	3c	337.21$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.46	1,602	11.8%189 W · 1,413 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd3a6…5173backed Wizards	15c	333.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	81	54.3%44 W · 37 L	+5.7wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5dd9…2af2backed Wizards	15c	333.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	49	36.7%18 W · 31 L	+2.7wins	+0.06per pick	31cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8cb…0f0cbacked Wizards	15c	333.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	123	35%43 W · 80 L	-9.8wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xeb2d…27e6backed Wizards	21c	332.48$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69	81	22.2%18 W · 63 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f10…bf5abacked Wizards	21c	327.46$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	37	54.1%20 W · 17 L	+2.1wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Wizards	15c	325.49$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	930	36.5%339 W · 591 L	-20.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08f9…b682backed Wizards	15c	325.13$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.77	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadbe…bc55backed Wizards	15c	300$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	504	53.8%271 W · 233 L	-8.2wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43e7…f880backed Wizards	14c	288.96$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.45	35	37.1%13 W · 22 L	-4.2wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1eee…782bbacked Wizards	15c	283.6$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.75	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+1.2wins	+0.09per pick	34cpaid	+28.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf04f…a8c4backed Wizards	15c	280.18$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.2	227	33%75 W · 152 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8651…4e6cbacked Wizards	15c	279.73$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.96	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf240…03c2backed Wizards	18c	277.78$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	119	39.5%47 W · 72 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd57…c7e2backed Wizards	15c	273.33$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	146	43.8%64 W · 82 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4722…74b4backed Wizards	15c	266.67$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	165	50.3%83 W · 82 L	+10.4wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x383b…c4febacked Wizards	16c	250$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	137	53.3%73 W · 64 L	+10.1wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+26.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Wizards	18c	250$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	306	41.8%128 W · 178 L	-9.1wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d7a…15b5backed Wizards	13c	222.82$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	276	31.2%86 W · 190 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39dc…8d05backed Wizards	15c	220$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	140	51.4%72 W · 68 L	+9.4wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x200e…e239backed Wizards	16c	213.38$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.14	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	+4.7wins	+0.11per pick	35cpaid	+29%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1338…0fa9backed Wizards	15c	213.33$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	140	42.9%60 W · 80 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Wizards	16c	200$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	443	37.9%168 W · 275 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b35…a749backed Wizards	16c	200$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	364	23.4%85 W · 279 L	-15.3wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd477…6c04backed Wizards	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	+2.0wins	+0.13per pick	14cpaid	+160.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Wizards	22c	200$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	679	11%75 W · 604 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-11%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e3d…bf10backed Wizards	17c	200$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	89	43.8%39 W · 50 L	+4.1wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfafc…2932backed Wizards	19c	200$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	75	26.7%20 W · 55 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-11%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Wizards	16c	199.99$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	753	47.5%358 W · 395 L	+10.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb984…2a41backed Wizards	15c	199.97$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	105	25.7%27 W · 78 L	+5.8wins	+0.06per pick	20cpaid	+40%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Wizards	10c	174.66$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.78	472	29.4%139 W · 333 L	-33.1wins	-0.07per pick	36cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x19e4…6db0backed Wizards	15c	166.67$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	63	25.4%16 W · 47 L	-4.4wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-15%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x861e…dddebacked Wizards	15c	166.5$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	145	39.3%57 W · 88 L	-6.9wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Wizards	16c	157.56$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.21	949	51.3%487 W · 462 L	-21.2wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd121…54c7backed Wizards	19c	154.06$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	74	32.4%24 W · 50 L	-3.4wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3585…1595backed Wizards	14c	153.78$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.75	260	41.2%107 W · 153 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0958…78fdbacked Wizards	15c	146.67$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	137	43.8%60 W · 77 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbf38…5193backed Wizards	15c	140$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+1.3wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+48.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a74…57dcbacked Wizards	15c	133.4$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.01	29	10.3%3 W · 26 L	-6.8wins	-0.23per pick	34cpaid	-62.5%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xd569…ff3bbacked Wizards	14c	133.21$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.65	49	28.6%14 W · 35 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x97f0…bb27backed Wizards	15c	132$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	70	35.7%25 W · 45 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x49b2…ffd0backed Wizards	16c	131.25$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	156	13.5%21 W · 135 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9730…4504backed Wizards	15c	131.25$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	93	34.4%32 W · 61 L	+3.7wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6956…c37fbacked Wizards	18c	125$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.75	25	60%15 W · 10 L	+2.8wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+24.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc0fd…95eabacked Wizards	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	62	38.7%24 W · 38 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac56…5b67backed Wizards	20c	125$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	82	52.4%43 W · 39 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f42…7d44backed Wizards	15c	113.33$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35fe…95f7backed Wizards	11c	112.5$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9700…9a97backed Wizards	15c	106.67$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-46%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x75b6…8ad0backed Wizards	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	115	41.7%48 W · 67 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x718c…f792backed Wizards	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	74	41.9%31 W · 43 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Wizards	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	853	47.9%409 W · 444 L	+8.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x671b…e4bdbacked Wizards	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	46	45.7%21 W · 25 L	-3.6wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Wizards	16c	100$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	336	38.1%128 W · 208 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7742…03e9backed Wizards	23c	100$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	199	39.2%78 W · 121 L	-17.7wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa1cc…af78backed Wizards	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	+26.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked Magic	80c	100$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	388	45.9%178 W · 210 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Wizards vs. Magic

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market