MLB · resolved market
Cubs vs. Brewers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde0705e48847c0c3063db7897279ce95434254052634b8b5cf91bd54f80a68b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cubsof Cubs, Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $184,596
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $183,908
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $184,596 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Brewers | 51c | 87,060$44,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,159.44 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Cubs | 45c | 31,952$14,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,563.31 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d5…88c7backed Cubs | 46c | 24,621$11,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,295.1 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Cubs | 47c | 22,452$10,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,899.66 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Cubs | 60c | 11,057$6,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,408.4 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Cubs | 47c | 6,963$3,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,690.24 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Cubs | 54c | 5,093$2,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,352.94 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Brewers | 17c | 4,813$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.21 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Cubs | 67c | 4,735$3,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,538.97 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Brewers | 22c | 3,523$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.02 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Brewers | 51c | 3,050$1,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,555.5 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Cubs | 47c | 2,889$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.17 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Cubs | 46c | 2,500$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344.99 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8826…fe47backed Cubs | 47c | 2,400$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb22…c471backed Brewers | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Brewers | 41c | 1,957$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.44 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7a…8274backed Brewers | 53c | 1,900$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x879e…94e4backed Cubs | 48c | 1,900$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cubs | 45c | 1,532$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.51 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Cubs | 47c | 1,509$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.98 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd05…edf7backed Cubs | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Cubs | 46c | 1,340$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.15 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Cubs | 45c | 1,333$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.34 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Cubs | 46c | 1,193$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.33 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Brewers | 52c | 1,162$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.36 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51a1…1467backed Brewers | 14c | 1,099$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.83 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Brewers | 2c | 1,027$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Cubs | 74c | 1,026$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Brewers | 2c | 1,020$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…aee5backed Brewers | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Brewers | 15c | 997.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9879…105abacked Brewers | 52c | 981$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 54cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Brewers | 53c | 980.19$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.5 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9c…d685backed Brewers | 52c | 919$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.88 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Brewers | 40c | 910$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Brewers | 56c | 900$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Cubs | 48c | 694.44$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.11 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Brewers | 37c | 659.65$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.94 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…edf8backed Cubs | 46c | 583$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.82 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Brewers | 54c | 577.69$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.95 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Brewers | 19c | 556.37$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Cubs | 47c | 523.37$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.39 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Brewers | 53c | 511.38$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.97 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Brewers | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Cubs | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Brewers | 48c | 475.8$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.3 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Cubs | 47c | 475.58$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.06 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Brewers | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Brewers | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Brewers | 44c | 375$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x931e…8547backed Cubs | 46c | 370$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.39per pick | 45cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Cubs | 71c | 358$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.35 | 145 | 65.5%95 W · 50 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Cubs | 46c | 350$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.5 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Cubs | 45c | 350$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.5 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Brewers | 28c | 339.24$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.68 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2719…28ddbacked Cubs | 72c | 338$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.95 | 253 | 64.4%163 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Brewers | 3c | 317$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Cubs | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Cubs | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Brewers | 54c | 292.83$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.13 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cubs | 55c | 262.68$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.44 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Brewers | 43c | 257.1$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.55 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd3…1174backed Brewers | 57c | 257$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.32 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Brewers | 54c | 240.74$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Cubs | 66c | 235.27$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.35 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Cubs | 75c | 234.29$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.05 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…418fbacked Brewers | 53c | 224.99$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Cubs | 75c | 224$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.14 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Cubs | 47c | 221.28$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.28 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Brewers | 52c | 220$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.4 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Cubs | 46c | 218$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.72 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cca…a0bebacked Cubs | 47c | 215$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.95 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Cubs | 48c | 208$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.16 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Cubs | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 171 | 39.2%67 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9a…d9d7backed Cubs | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecf2…c477backed Brewers | 54c | 195$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7703…34b9backed Brewers | 53c | 190$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Cubs | 46c | 188$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.42 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Brewers | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Brewers | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Brewers | 54c | 182.97$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2e…52bcbacked Brewers | 54c | 175$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Cubs | 46c | 173$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.42 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Brewers | 43c | 168.6$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…606cbacked Brewers | 48c | 166.63$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cubs | 64c | 165.16$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.43 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Brewers | 53c | 150.59$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Brewers | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9c…2256backed Brewers | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1be8…1dd6backed Cubs | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d6…1733backed Brewers | 20c | 140$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Cubs | 46c | 129$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.99 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Cubs | 47c | 111$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.83 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Cubs | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4354…571fbacked Brewers | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Cubs | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Brewers | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Brewers | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Brewers | 43c | 98.92$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.54 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Brewers | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.