MLB · resolved market
Nationals vs. Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9725746957a6caf0aa967c3975a44431a3894955e72e421507bf3d0eafdf6e8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nationalsof Nationals, Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,368
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,571
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,368 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Twins | 60c | 8,766$5,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,291.6 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Nationals | 39c | 5,424$2,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,308.65 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Nationals | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Twins | 51c | 4,873$2,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,479.13 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Twins | 60c | 4,743$2,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,853.99 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Twins | 6c | 2,632$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.95 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Twins | 23c | 2,455$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.97 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…83ccbacked Nationals | 40c | 1,888$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.79 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Nationals | 47c | 1,478$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.79 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Nationals | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Twins | 60c | 945$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Nationals | 48c | 926$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.72 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Nationals | 42c | 508$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.9 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Nationals | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…aee5backed Twins | 60c | 478$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.8 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Nationals | 54c | 451.49$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.26 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Twins | 62c | 447.07$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.24 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Nationals | 79c | 411.23$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.35 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Nationals | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x282c…784bbacked Twins | 8c | 388.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Twins | 24c | 370.78$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Twins | 55c | 317.82$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.34 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Nationals | 38c | 317.2$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.67 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd3…1174backed Twins | 57c | 313$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.63 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Twins | 4c | 302$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Nationals | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Nationals | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Nationals | 41c | 292.68$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.68 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Twins | 60c | 268$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.8 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Nationals | 39c | 256.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.4 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Nationals | 39c | 250$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.5 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6254…d8b7backed Twins | 57c | 249$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.91 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Twins | 57c | 248$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.28 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Twins | 62c | 246.67$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Nationals | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Nationals | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Nationals | 49c | 203$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.32 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe259…b890backed Twins | 57c | 201.77$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.99 | 161 | 62.1%100 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Twins | 54c | 196.37$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.88 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2719…28ddbacked Twins | 53c | 192.79$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.16 | 253 | 64.4%163 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x534e…ecfebacked Twins | 58c | 181.66$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.18 | 274 | 58.8%161 W · 113 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Twins | 48c | 177.95$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.87 | 145 | 65.5%95 W · 50 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Nationals | 41c | 153$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.27 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Nationals | 41c | 139.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.6 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Twins | 59c | 138.66$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.81 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…f330backed Nationals | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.36 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ade…5b61backed Nationals | 40c | 122.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +112.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Nationals | 40c | 120.83$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Nationals | 75c | 117.43$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.68 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Nationals | 43c | 116.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.43 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Nationals | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c4…25e7backed Nationals | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Twins | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Twins | 58c | 98$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.78 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Nationals | 40c | 87.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Nationals | 80c | 86.17$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Nationals | 41c | 80$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 208 | 51.9%108 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Nationals | 65c | 75.52$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Nationals | 40c | 72$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.29 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nationals | 47c | 71.56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.11 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Twins | 58c | 70.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.89 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Nationals | 39c | 70$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee1…dae8backed Nationals | 39c | 67.21$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed Twins | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Twins | 24c | 61.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13af…d1cabacked Nationals | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Nationals | 40c | 60.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.64 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Twins | 54c | 57.22$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…6ce2backed Nationals | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2885…486cbacked Nationals | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5930…f3fdbacked Nationals | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Twins | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Nationals | 44c | 44.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.97 | 512 | 45.1%231 W · 281 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Nationals | 40c | 42.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Nationals | 38c | 42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…ac8dbacked Nationals | 46c | 39.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 268 | 45.5%122 W · 146 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Nationals | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 375 | 52.5%197 W · 178 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Twins | 58c | 36.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Nationals | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Nationals | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed Nationals | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 426 | 51.2%218 W · 208 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Nationals | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a04…793dbacked Twins | 61c | 29.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x245e…232abacked Twins | 60c | 26.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc676…f35cbacked Nationals | 40c | 25.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe913…4c03backed Nationals | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…b6aabacked Twins | 60c | 22.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef7…bd03backed Nationals | 66c | 21.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b09…1df4backed Twins | 60c | 20.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4559…ca89backed Twins | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 235 | 43.4%102 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ec…9b45backed Twins | 60c | 18.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c13…0c93backed Twins | 61c | 18.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.