Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf2b2eae42037284187d05d72b196e62edf49a9a98b07569a3488a108708df3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,754
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,893
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,754 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed Yes | 45c | 2,019$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.22 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 51c | 1,070$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.36 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…7dc3backed No | 6c | 871.78$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.61 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 46c | 817.27$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.98 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc4…7ae7backed Yes | 48c | 706.46$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.22 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…71adbacked Yes | 37c | 608.52$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.47 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c99…3ef0backed No | 52c | 552.65$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.82 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5617…8c67backed Yes | 59c | 487.97$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.69 | 75 | 18.7%14 W · 61 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 57c | 435.55$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.81 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 34c | 388.68$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.38 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 29c | 310.74$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.64 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 54c | 308.17$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.54 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 52c | 299.99$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 43c | 298.81$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.12 | 636 | 56.1%357 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…8508backed Yes | 35c | 283.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.38 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 26cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 20c | 280.28$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.66 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 44c | 279.99$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.59 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15b1…a8e8backed No | 57c | 278.93$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.88 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked Yes | 37c | 277.77$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.93 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaada…160bbacked Yes | 58c | 277.67$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.67 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 50c | 275.4$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.61 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 49c | 258.84$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.37 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 65c | 249.4$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.19 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f94…8ffebacked Yes | 30c | 240.12$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.6 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +126.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…704cbacked Yes | 29c | 218.67$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.82 | 321 | 32.7%105 W · 216 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Yes | 45c | 209.72$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.39 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c06…62e3backed Yes | 54c | 202.3$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.2 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +8.7wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97ab…a19fbacked No | 60c | 199.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 299 | 53.8%161 W · 138 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0d…1fb4backed Yes | 39c | 193.77$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.75 | 242 | 38%92 W · 150 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 48c | 191.77$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.42 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e9…fb3cbacked Yes | 66c | 183.17$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.76 | 190 | 60.5%115 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 35c | 179.94$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.45 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…343cbacked No | 59c | 179.89$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.76 | 169 | 68%115 W · 54 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 39c | 178.39$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.09 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51f6…9f18backed Yes | 32c | 177.3$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.25 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 50c | 174.48$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.94 | 617 | 52.8%326 W · 291 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…bc23backed No | 58c | 171.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.3 | 811 | 65.8%534 W · 277 L | -37.1wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 32c | 166.46$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.19 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…3257backed Yes | 28c | 165.63$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.48 | 200 | 25%50 W · 150 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 71c | 162.06$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 52c | 153.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.96 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…2e20backed No | 72c | 149.1$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.86 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c0…ae83backed Yes | 33c | 145.72$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.63 | 122 | 23%28 W · 94 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 30c | 140$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.83 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b37…2e48backed No | 65c | 139.3$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.49 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +9.7wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…7d9cbacked Yes | 33c | 138$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.8 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x803a…219ebacked Yes | 51c | 136.82$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.06 | 262 | 65.6%172 W · 90 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed Yes | 44c | 130.97$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.72 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 38c | 121.76$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f30…6866backed Yes | 32c | 121.73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.29 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…17a9backed Yes | 47c | 118.43$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.25 | 165 | 30.9%51 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 47c | 116.26$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.36 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 31c | 112.02$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.73 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fec…9d17backed Yes | 32c | 110.27$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.27 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5da1…a003backed Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cb…015fbacked Yes | 33c | 106.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.87 | 200 | 27.5%55 W · 145 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2946…8eb4backed Yes | 30c | 100.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…a5adbacked Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.93 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e06…42f0backed Yes | 41c | 99.24$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…b978backed Yes | 43c | 98$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.94 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8215…1279backed No | 78c | 95.62$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.6 | 387 | 58.7%227 W · 160 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6f…e9fabacked Yes | 38c | 94.28$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.04 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda63…8969backed Yes | 30c | 94.26$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.21 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…3622backed Yes | 41c | 93.59$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4b…ac6bbacked No | 78c | 92.89$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.55 | 358 | 54.7%196 W · 162 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 21c | 90$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.1 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…e878backed Yes | 22c | 90$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 237 | 43%102 W · 135 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…a03cbacked Yes | 33c | 88.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.75 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…6900backed No | 74c | 87.93$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.13 | 412 | 58.3%240 W · 172 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 25c | 86.82$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.86 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…9160backed Yes | 29c | 83.72$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.73 | 420 | 49%206 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 66c | 82.19$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.37 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 66c | 80.72$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.96 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…d5fabacked No | 24c | 80.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 483 | 31.3%151 W · 332 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 67c | 80$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 42c | 79.98$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.39 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a17…d13ebacked Yes | 44c | 79.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.38 | 106 | 33%35 W · 71 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc12f…5c57backed Yes | 32c | 76.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.02 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7531…35debacked Yes | 25c | 73.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.08 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed Yes | 23c | 73.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.84 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 27c | 73.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.81 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…cf8fbacked No | 74c | 67.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 861 | 73.2%630 W · 231 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4179…cceebacked No | 75c | 66.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 429 | 76.5%328 W · 101 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…43f4backed Yes | 25c | 63.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.56 | 173 | 58.4%101 W · 72 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9d…4a77backed Yes | 46c | 62.34$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.97 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b35…b8f8backed Yes | 34c | 60.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 68c | 58.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53d3…c151backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 31c | 58.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 633 | 23.9%151 W · 482 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b0…64f3backed No | 51c | 57.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3302…489dbacked Yes | 31c | 57.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdf…28a2backed Yes | 33c | 56.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.93 | 561 | 31.7%178 W · 383 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 26c | 56.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.45 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…6cb0backed Yes | 31c | 55.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 253 | 44.7%113 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd4…ea0ebacked No | 78c | 54$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.93 | 438 | 59.6%261 W · 177 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 71c | 53.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.27 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 66c | 53.51$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.32 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 1?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on May 1?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.