TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will MH Beitar Jerusalem win on 2026-07-30?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$121,754
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$121,371

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,754 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfd29…77aebacked No54c77,250$41,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,535.033250%16 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes46c43,331$19,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,905.32,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ea6…9223backed Yes0c21,000$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211225%3 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick16cpaid-58.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes46c10,000$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,60015947.8%76 W · 83 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94d4…d869backed Yes45c6,165$2,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,760.431060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+17.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Yes46c3,521$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,619.7531856%178 W · 140 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes36c3,166$1,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,152.212,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No56c2,999$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.7797346%448 W · 525 L-4.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Yes46c2,767$1,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,273333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-31.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes46c2,173$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.5843344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes46c1,635$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.0955545.8%254 W · 301 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes46c1,304$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6009538.9%37 W · 58 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Yes46c1,304$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.999152.7%48 W · 43 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No67c1,103$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.8619250.5%97 W · 95 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd970…bbbabacked Yes5c1,100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.96973.9%51 W · 18 L+19.0wins+0.28per pick46cpaid+87.8%equal weight73+0.20 edge/pick
0x03c6…3dd2backed Yes46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed No68c1,081$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.882250%11 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd096…2f6fbacked Yes19c1,063$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.351338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Yes46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.168042.5%34 W · 46 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x854d…deb0backed No53c999.98$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.991729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-33.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes21c960.43$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.441,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No78c897.89$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2023,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes16c835.64$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.5376941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes46c742.42$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.891950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No55c714$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.811,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9360…8dd7backed Yes46c706.52$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32540%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed Yes46c630.43$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2905350.9%27 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No54c555$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.388048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No54c555$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.31,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed No56c499.97$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.991650%8 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef57…827dbacked Yes41c429.98$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.293141.9%13 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a87…f151backed Yes48c425.25$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Yes29c385.96$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.5929337.9%111 W · 182 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No54c321.56$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.777855%428 W · 350 L+23.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff4d…59aebacked Yes44c310.52$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.7840%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Yes46c307.36$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.0238144.1%168 W · 213 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ca3…2d23backed Yes46c298.99$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.54812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes46c272.03$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.135850%29 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes10c271.54$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.462,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Yes46c208.28$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6913450%67 W · 67 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6868…24f0backed Yes19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3820740.1%83 W · 124 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes46c193$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.0917443.1%75 W · 99 L-0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e8…a5f9backed Yes45c178.53$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.75250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes46c142.84$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.691,11435.8%399 W · 715 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed No55c131.82$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.2937043.8%162 W · 208 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x57d1…dc9fbacked Yes30c118.41$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352832.1%9 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes46c114.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4527554.9%151 W · 124 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.292,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No56c99.49$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7779354.2%430 W · 363 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5c9…a4fcbacked Yes46c97.83$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452948.3%14 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes46c86.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406536.9%24 W · 41 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6feb…c082backed Yes46c86.04$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.587146.5%33 W · 38 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd27d…fa96backed Yes46c84.67$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.951361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7df0…0dfebacked No55c80$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367157.7%41 W · 30 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed No54c80$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.839357.5%226 W · 167 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No56c79.94$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.261,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Yes42c70$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.46657.6%38 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce5e…c0fabacked Yes44c67.12$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.538245.1%37 W · 45 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed No56c66.52$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2765549.8%326 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Yes38c63.18$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2136356.5%205 W · 158 L+17.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Yes46c62.82$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.867146.5%33 W · 38 L+7.3wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+34.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No74c60.82$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6863857.2%365 W · 273 L+35.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x833c…ac24backed No55c60.35$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.196358.7%37 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Yes30c59.93$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.825236.5%19 W · 33 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa0f1…5b7fbacked No58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.722540%10 W · 15 L-4.0wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-22.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Yes46c50.83$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.386639.4%26 W · 40 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-24%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked No70c49.96$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.997677.6%59 W · 17 L+13.5wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+35.1%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x1ff0…0a65backed Yes44c45.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.961030%3 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick54cpaid-41.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Yes46c45$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.71844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+55.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked No57c43.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.865959.3%35 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes29c42.06$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1720244.6%90 W · 112 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed Yes46c39.24$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.055664.3%36 W · 20 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cfa…c90ebacked No56c37.65$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.64366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f15…a670backed No57c37.02$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.883762.2%23 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes28c36.45$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3185260.9%519 W · 333 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa187…aa65backed No55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.361752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00c5…b5e9backed Yes42c35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.73271.9%23 W · 9 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+23.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked No57c33$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1927039.3%106 W · 164 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a60…7b81backed No57c30.58$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.156852.9%36 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed No57c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.97855.1%43 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Yes44c26.79$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7916443.9%72 W · 92 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No70c26.6$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9837750.9%192 W · 185 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x312c…ceecbacked No58c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.53554.3%19 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed No60c24.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7629654.1%160 W · 136 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked No55c21.25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.519958.6%58 W · 41 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b5e…f21dbacked No53c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed No68c19.62$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.353063.3%19 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.