Asian League · resolved market
Vissel Kōbe vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49725e9e630acf792bae14445cd9164b0408cb6503746984a732c442f2fca004
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,758
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,478
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,758 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Under | 62c | 4,997$3,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,098.23 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 70c | 2,869$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 40c | 2,302$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,382.66 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Over | 38c | 1,600$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 44c | 1,405$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.74 | 1,235 | 49.9%616 W · 619 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Over | 38c | 1,200$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0c…a1aabacked Under | 61c | 1,144$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 62c | 1,045$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.9 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf055…02b5backed Under | 64c | 777.78$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Over | 38c | 699.95$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.97 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 46c | 682.24$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.22 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Over | 38c | 600$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 57c | 589$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.32 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Over | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2d…646bbacked Over | 61c | 489.99$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.1 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Over | 38c | 400$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 215 | 52.1%112 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Over | 38c | 400$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over | 38c | 299.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.99 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Over | 38c | 299.97$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.98 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 39c | 268.26$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Over | 38c | 259.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.19 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Over | 38c | 259.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.19 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…90ccbacked Under | 64c | 235.84$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 50c | 193.26$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.03 | 1,357 | 45.5%617 W · 740 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Under | 14c | 163.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Over | 38c | 160$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.2 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Over | 38c | 156$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.72 | 182 | 56%102 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Over | 38c | 156$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.72 | 150 | 54%81 W · 69 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Over | 38c | 140$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.8 | 161 | 54.7%88 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x135d…56c0backed Under | 74c | 132.77$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked Under | 15c | 119.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 62c | 104.08$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.53 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4571…a952backed Under | 68c | 103.41$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 424 | 51.2%217 W · 207 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Under | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Over | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 165 | 55.8%92 W · 73 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Over | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 133 | 51.9%69 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Over | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3451…a6e1backed Over | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a48…dc30backed Over | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 39c | 81.48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…01c6backed Under | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 62c | 79.81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.48 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Over | 38c | 75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 39c | 68.28$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.34 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 114 | 33.3%38 W · 76 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Over | 42c | 67.38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.79 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Over | 39c | 65.89$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.19 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…01fdbacked Under | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 52c | 58.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2e…5b64backed Over | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…6471backed Under | 63c | 43.3$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21dd…0b83backed Over | 39c | 43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.23 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…5d8ebacked Under | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Over | 38c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d70…d0a6backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…e961backed Over | 61c | 37.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 52c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…4575backed Over | 49c | 32.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +154.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…76c6backed Under | 62c | 25.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 59c | 23.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 341 | 50.7%173 W · 168 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Under | 64c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 46c | 22.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 89 | 6.7%6 W · 83 L | -22.4wins | -0.25per pick | 32cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 28-0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…cebabacked Under | 62c | 20.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 71cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d44…9f3bbacked Under | 60c | 19.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x926f…c343backed Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vissel Kōbe vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 2.5this page
- Vissel Kōbe vs. Kashima Antlers: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Vissel Kōbe vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 0.5Over won
- Vissel Kōbe vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 1.5Over won
- Vissel Kōbe vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 3.5Over won
- Vissel Kōbe vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.