Asian League · resolved market
Vissel Kōbe vs. Kashima Antlers: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb9d04e6dfc2cc4857995c5e4ec58deb8f06930f00499132d020738b6775134d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,629
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,640
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,629 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 1,912$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.36 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 42c | 1,065$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae6d…468dbacked Yes | 50c | 635.38$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Yes | 40c | 600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 61c | 549.37$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.49 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 50c | 372.88$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.44 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…4529backed Yes | 39c | 299.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Yes | 47c | 237.55$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.26 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a1…8e53backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 53c | 211.27$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.3 | 139 | 56.1%78 W · 61 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 49c | 184.42$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.97 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 47c | 106.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 53c | 92$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 51c | 84$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.16 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 51c | 59.82$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.31 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b13…37dbbacked No | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3451…a6e1backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x352b…abd8backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x663c…bb68backed No | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe68b…dc9ebacked Yes | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eab…d4bfbacked No | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vissel Kōbe vs. Kashima Antlers: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Vissel Kōbe vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 0.5Over won
- Vissel Kōbe vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 1.5Over won
- Vissel Kōbe vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 2.5Over won
- Vissel Kōbe vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 3.5Over won
- Vissel Kōbe vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.