South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Talleres end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3384c2e4c5b7c6ebb7cfa12d7245699e74f022746ecdc740318b60bb078221a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,177
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,605
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,177 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 67c | 22,588$15,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,453.99 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Yes | 33c | 21,902$7,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,227.58 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 67c | 10,661$7,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,543.32 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 34c | 5,566$1,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,885.06 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 31c | 1,631$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.69 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 33c | 1,007$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.45 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Yes | 34c | 885.29$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…5806backed Yes | 35c | 857.14$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -5.8wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 13c | 838.14$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.42 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 20c | 832.27$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.45 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 15c | 697$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.55 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 66c | 645.44$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.45 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 20c | 570.33$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.07 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…032dbacked Yes | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 21c | 365.57$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.92 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 12c | 352.24$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.77 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 34c | 333.29$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.32 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 38c | 304.31$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.84 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 66c | 304.14$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.41 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0c…a1aabacked No | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cda…1397backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 47c | 274.75$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.13 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed No | 74c | 274.17$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.04 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 9c | 268.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cd…ed53backed No | 66c | 249.52$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.31 | 83 | 75.9%63 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 6c | 247.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d12…ccc3backed Yes | 23c | 224.63$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.11 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5120…b26bbacked Yes | 25c | 203.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 22c | 156.76$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.38 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 66c | 149.28$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.75 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Yes | 43c | 146.2$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.9 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 21c | 123.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 34c | 112$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 40c | 110.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.63 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 73c | 105.57$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 38c | 77.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Yes | 32c | 74.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 67c | 66.03$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.92 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 78c | 63.52$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 77c | 63.01$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 28c | 53.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Yes | 30c | 49.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 119 | 44.5%53 W · 66 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f25…e9a5backed Yes | 43c | 45.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 70c | 38.53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed9d…444abacked Yes | 34c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 79c | 31.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 65c | 28.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 66c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 66c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Talleres end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-07-25?Yes won
- Will CA Talleres win on 2026-07-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.