MLB · resolved market
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe902264aff38dd69e58a85bb5613fb964ffabe2a9e526ac16a4c967af7976072
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Diego Padresof San Francisco Giants, San Diego Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $117,563
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $121,648
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,563 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x580d…eb6dbacked San Diego Padres | 57c | 22,427$12,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,643.47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed San Francisco Giants | 43c | 16,279$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed San Diego Padres | 69c | 10,570$7,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,277.75 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 10,283$5,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,421.67 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked San Diego Padres | 71c | 7,440$5,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,184.77 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked San Francisco Giants | 42c | 6,321$2,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,654.82 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed San Francisco Giants | 20c | 6,089$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.72 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0385…acafbacked San Francisco Giants | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed San Diego Padres | 74c | 3,810$2,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.18 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Francisco Giants | 26c | 3,807$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.67 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2324…d697backed San Francisco Giants | 29c | 3,365$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed San Francisco Giants | 43c | 3,023$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked San Francisco Giants | 26c | 3,020$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.98 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed San Francisco Giants | 43c | 2,879$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.09 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed San Diego Padres | 80c | 2,792$2,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.21 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c95…10f5backed San Diego Padres | 79c | 2,549$2,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.68 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -6.4wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -34%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbef6…f2f9backed San Francisco Giants | 43c | 1,902$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed San Francisco Giants | 18c | 1,667$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked San Francisco Giants | 43c | 1,563$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.09 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked San Francisco Giants | 43c | 1,563$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.09 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…8fe4backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 1,251$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.65 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed San Francisco Giants | 22c | 1,189$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked San Diego Padres | 57c | 1,013$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.57 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 910.98$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.72 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked San Diego Padres | 57c | 836.81$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.83 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…01c9backed San Francisco Giants | 21c | 710$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.6 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…4b0dbacked San Francisco Giants | 25c | 630.95$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e2…aedcbacked San Francisco Giants | 43c | 625$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12cc…3587backed San Diego Padres | 58c | 604.23$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.78 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Diego Padres | 72c | 590.17$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.78 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed San Francisco Giants | 20c | 536.36$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.81 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed San Diego Padres | 58c | 509.99$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.2 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked San Diego Padres | 67c | 501.45$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.78 | 242 | 52.9%128 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6206…00eebacked San Francisco Giants | 43c | 475$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked San Francisco Giants | 43c | 469$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.67 | 612 | 50.5%309 W · 303 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked San Francisco Giants | 43c | 453$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.79 | 283 | 47.3%134 W · 149 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed San Francisco Giants | 28c | 442.14$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.8 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 419.65$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.45 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…c996backed San Francisco Giants | 43c | 391$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed San Francisco Giants | 43c | 390.68$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.99 | 375 | 46.9%176 W · 199 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 389.99$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.7 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed San Francisco Giants | 19c | 369.25$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.75 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed San Francisco Giants | 19c | 368.42$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…d60abacked San Francisco Giants | 12c | 367.44$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.82 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed San Diego Padres | 73c | 359.78$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.14 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78eb…9a2bbacked San Diego Padres | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9278…9a1bbacked San Diego Padres | 59c | 336.35$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.35 | 130 | 57.7%75 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed San Francisco Giants | 25c | 333.49$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.79 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…ed42backed San Francisco Giants | 32c | 309.52$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 153 | 39.9%61 W · 92 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed San Francisco Giants | 18c | 309$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.52 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed San Diego Padres | 67c | 301.57$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.52 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…171dbacked San Diego Padres | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked San Francisco Giants | 13c | 268.56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 305 | 29.8%91 W · 214 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed San Diego Padres | 78c | 252.48$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.74 | 349 | 52.7%184 W · 165 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 250.33$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.64 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked San Francisco Giants | 43c | 246.06$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.81 | 589 | 43.1%254 W · 335 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…5951backed San Francisco Giants | 43c | 232$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.76 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed San Francisco Giants | 20c | 231.47$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.16 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32a7…a84bbacked San Francisco Giants | 5c | 230.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked San Francisco Giants | 43c | 223.93$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.29 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718f…f25abacked San Francisco Giants | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -40%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f65…38bfbacked San Francisco Giants | 43c | 213$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.59 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0817…b071backed San Francisco Giants | 16c | 206.47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed San Diego Padres | 80c | 200.97$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.57 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 442 | 45.5%201 W · 241 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed San Francisco Giants | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked San Francisco Giants | 42c | 199.96$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.98 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed San Francisco Giants | 43c | 198.79$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.48 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bf4cbacked San Francisco Giants | 43c | 187$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.41 | 278 | 52.2%145 W · 133 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…cd9ebacked San Francisco Giants | 43c | 173.95$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed San Francisco Giants | 21c | 163.36$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.53 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked San Francisco Giants | 24c | 160$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed San Francisco Giants | 43c | 156$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.08 | 1,299 | 50.9%661 W · 638 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed San Diego Padres | 79c | 156$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6808…899bbacked San Francisco Giants | 43c | 156$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.08 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8675…725dbacked San Diego Padres | 58c | 134.48$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.48 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked San Diego Padres | 74c | 133$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.73 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed San Francisco Giants | 43c | 126$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.18 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa448…3046backed San Francisco Giants | 43c | 125$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…3038backed San Diego Padres | 58c | 120.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.69 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe983…93bfbacked San Francisco Giants | 17c | 113.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4f…b174backed San Francisco Giants | 21c | 111.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 407 | 53.3%217 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e28…625cbacked San Diego Padres | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 214 | 64%137 W · 77 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4a…4ce0backed San Francisco Giants | 43c | 102$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.86 | 161 | 55.9%90 W · 71 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47f6…b051backed San Diego Padres | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 173 | 46.2%80 W · 93 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed San Francisco Giants | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e68…3772backed San Francisco Giants | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 249 | 47%117 W · 132 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…f91bbacked San Francisco Giants | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 124 | 26.6%33 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x302b…7a54backed San Francisco Giants | 19c | 99.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed San Diego Padres | 78c | 98.56$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.68 | 218 | 41.3%90 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed San Diego Padres | 58c | 94.45$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.67 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a96…b382backed San Francisco Giants | 43c | 94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 396 | 52.8%209 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed San Francisco Giants | 14c | 93.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25d5…11fcbacked San Diego Padres | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab61…fb2bbacked San Diego Padres | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed San Diego Padres | 78c | 85.57$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked San Diego Padres | 58c | 81.03$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.03 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2163…b139backed San Francisco Giants | 43c | 79.07$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked San Diego Padres | 78c | 78.68$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.31 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padresthis page
- San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-6.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego PadresYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.