TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
San Diego Padresof San Francisco Giants, San Diego Padres
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$117,563
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$121,648

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,563 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x580d…eb6dbacked San Diego Padres57c22,427$12,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,643.47540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed San Francisco Giants43c16,279$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,0001,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed San Diego Padres69c10,570$7,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,277.757651.3%39 W · 37 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed San Diego Padres57c10,283$5,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,421.673,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked San Diego Padres71c7,440$5,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,184.7711,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked San Francisco Giants42c6,321$2,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,654.8277053.9%415 W · 355 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed San Francisco Giants20c6,089$1,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,208.728,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0385…acafbacked San Francisco Giants43c5,000$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1503548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed San Diego Padres74c3,810$2,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$976.188,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked San Francisco Giants26c3,807$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.678,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2324…d697backed San Francisco Giants29c3,365$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed San Francisco Giants43c3,023$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30019250%96 W · 96 L+12.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked San Francisco Giants26c3,020$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.982,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed San Francisco Giants43c2,879$1,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,238.093351.5%17 W · 16 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed San Diego Padres80c2,792$2,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.2195045.2%429 W · 521 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c95…10f5backed San Diego Padres79c2,549$2,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.684139%16 W · 25 L-6.4wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-34%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbef6…f2f9backed San Francisco Giants43c1,902$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.99933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2978…b511backed San Francisco Giants18c1,667$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006936.2%25 W · 44 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb88a…f6adbacked San Francisco Giants43c1,563$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.0928753.3%153 W · 134 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5633…59bcbacked San Francisco Giants43c1,563$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.0927952%145 W · 134 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe77…8fe4backed San Francisco Giants44c1,251$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.651050%5 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+27%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed San Francisco Giants22c1,189$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2623,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked San Diego Padres57c1,013$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.572,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed San Diego Padres57c910.98$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.726,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked San Diego Padres57c836.81$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.8375248.8%367 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c8c…01c9backed San Francisco Giants21c710$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.65141.2%21 W · 30 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa177…4b0dbacked San Francisco Giants25c630.95$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16012132.2%39 W · 82 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1e2…aedcbacked San Francisco Giants43c625$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.7530%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x12cc…3587backed San Diego Padres58c604.23$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.784955.1%27 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed San Diego Padres72c590.17$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.7812,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed San Francisco Giants20c536.36$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.814,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35fa…2bd4backed San Diego Padres58c509.99$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.217348%83 W · 90 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fe8…72bcbacked San Diego Padres67c501.45$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.7824252.9%128 W · 114 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6206…00eebacked San Francisco Giants43c475$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked San Francisco Giants43c469$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.6761250.5%309 W · 303 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked San Francisco Giants43c453$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.7928347.3%134 W · 149 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed San Francisco Giants28c442.14$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.81,13742.6%484 W · 653 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed San Diego Padres57c419.65$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.4551547%242 W · 273 L+1.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dae…c996backed San Francisco Giants43c391$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.13742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcd6…f3c8backed San Francisco Giants43c390.68$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.9937546.9%176 W · 199 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed San Diego Padres57c389.99$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.71,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed San Francisco Giants19c369.25$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.759,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a61…1787backed San Francisco Giants19c368.42$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7016340.5%66 W · 97 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0828…d60abacked San Francisco Giants12c367.44$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.82616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-49.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed San Diego Padres73c359.78$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.1415851.9%82 W · 76 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x78eb…9a2bbacked San Diego Padres58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.836758.2%39 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9278…9a1bbacked San Diego Padres59c336.35$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.3513057.7%75 W · 55 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed San Francisco Giants25c333.49$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.7955645.3%252 W · 304 L-17.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x762a…ed42backed San Francisco Giants32c309.52$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9815339.9%61 W · 92 L-10.6wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed San Francisco Giants18c309$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5279442.4%337 W · 457 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed San Diego Padres67c301.57$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.5225447.6%121 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3783…171dbacked San Diego Padres79c300$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6311549.6%57 W · 58 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed San Diego Padres55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1351,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked San Francisco Giants13c268.56$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3430529.8%91 W · 214 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed San Diego Padres78c252.48$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.7434952.7%184 W · 165 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed San Diego Padres57c250.33$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.644,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffae…adaebacked San Francisco Giants43c246.06$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.8158943.1%254 W · 335 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4934…5951backed San Francisco Giants43c232$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7611258%65 W · 47 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed San Francisco Giants20c231.47$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.162,14439.6%849 W · 1,295 L+0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32a7…a84bbacked San Francisco Giants5c230.3$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115534.5%19 W · 36 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+26.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2613…12bdbacked San Francisco Giants43c223.93$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.2921248.1%102 W · 110 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x718f…f25abacked San Francisco Giants18c222.22$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406325.4%16 W · 47 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-40%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f65…38bfbacked San Francisco Giants43c213$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.5911548.7%56 W · 59 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0817…b071backed San Francisco Giants16c206.47$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.353912.8%5 W · 34 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick20cpaid-40.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed San Diego Padres80c200.97$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.574,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed San Diego Padres57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8644245.5%201 W · 241 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd52…aa25backed San Francisco Giants5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1028152%146 W · 135 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked San Francisco Giants42c199.96$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.983,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed San Francisco Giants43c198.79$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.4857548%276 W · 299 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a51…bf4cbacked San Francisco Giants43c187$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.4127852.2%145 W · 133 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddfc…cd9ebacked San Francisco Giants43c173.95$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.816250.6%82 W · 80 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed San Francisco Giants21c163.36$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.532,22355.4%1,231 W · 992 L+73.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4dd…23ffbacked San Francisco Giants24c160$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.639440.9%161 W · 233 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed San Francisco Giants43c156$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.081,29950.9%661 W · 638 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2465…5d84backed San Diego Padres79c156$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.761,10079.6%876 W · 224 L+32.7wins+0.03per pick77cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6808…899bbacked San Francisco Giants43c156$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.084942.9%21 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8675…725dbacked San Diego Padres58c134.48$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.484067.5%27 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae34…3a8abacked San Diego Padres74c133$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7335668.8%245 W · 111 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d10…b3d0backed San Francisco Giants43c126$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.185046%23 W · 27 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa448…3046backed San Francisco Giants43c125$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.753557.1%20 W · 15 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed San Diego Padres58c120.69$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.693348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe983…93bfbacked San Francisco Giants17c113.53$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.121735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-19.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa4f…b174backed San Francisco Giants21c111.87$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8840753.3%217 W · 190 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e28…625cbacked San Diego Padres58c103.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.4521464%137 W · 77 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e4a…4ce0backed San Francisco Giants43c102$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8616155.9%90 W · 71 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x47f6…b051backed San Diego Padres58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4217346.2%80 W · 93 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87f8…7de3backed San Francisco Giants24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2438142%160 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e68…3772backed San Francisco Giants19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1924947%117 W · 132 L+15.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67f4…f91bbacked San Francisco Giants10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0512426.6%33 W · 91 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick27cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x302b…7a54backed San Francisco Giants19c99.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194219%8 W · 34 L-6.3wins-0.15per pick34cpaid-49.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed San Diego Padres78c98.56$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6821841.3%90 W · 128 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed San Diego Padres58c94.45$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.6760043.3%260 W · 340 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a96…b382backed San Francisco Giants43c94$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4239652.8%209 W · 187 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed San Francisco Giants14c93.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.871,07558.3%627 W · 448 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25d5…11fcbacked San Diego Padres58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.217653.9%41 W · 35 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xab61…fb2bbacked San Diego Padres58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.218647.7%41 W · 45 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed San Diego Padres78c85.57$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.933250%16 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5430…fbbbbacked San Diego Padres58c81.03$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0380855.3%447 W · 361 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2163…b139backed San Francisco Giants43c79.07$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked San Diego Padres78c78.68$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3117047.1%80 W · 90 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.