South American Leagues · resolved market
Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3bcfbee8aba6e6ced214476ee0188b9f60bcf9bd04c42470af3379d6748759c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,913
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,952
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,913 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 39c | 17,850$6,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,864 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x369f…abb5backed No | 62c | 7,690$4,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,791.56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed No | 61c | 5,879$3,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,614.72 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 59c | 4,945$2,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,934.1 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked No | 59c | 2,775$1,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed No | 58c | 2,245$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,302.12 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes | 42c | 2,041$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.37 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 43c | 1,864$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.48 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +9.1wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 40c | 1,399$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.04 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 60c | 1,353$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.8 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed No | 59c | 1,256$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Yes | 41c | 1,100$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c14…68f3backed No | 10c | 999.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e88…9b64backed No | 10c | 900$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 9cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 43c | 509.98$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.69 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 40c | 393.63$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.9 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 42c | 299.98$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.99 | 138 | 28.3%39 W · 99 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 291.1$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.32 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 61c | 263.98$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.19 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…cba6backed Yes | 39c | 256$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.16 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 61c | 214.97$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.86 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…9507backed No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed No | 13c | 172$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 63 | 15.9%10 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Yes | 80c | 168.75$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 88 | 87.5%77 W · 11 L | +19.9wins | +0.23per pick | 65cpaid | +42%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 57c | 167.99$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.52 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 59c | 164.5$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.89 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 60c | 144.45$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.17 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 39c | 133.34$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 61c | 120$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.9 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 39c | 101.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.67 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Yes | 39c | 88.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.01 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 38c | 84.4$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.33 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…bdb5backed Yes | 41c | 83.44$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 61c | 80$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 59 | 72.9%43 W · 16 L | +8.0wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 39c | 64.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.95 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed No | 59c | 63.75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.66 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Yes | 42c | 60.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.92 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…a565backed Yes | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes | 43c | 51.72$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 56c | 49.89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72fc…b1fbbacked Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 43c | 45.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.98 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 39c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.46 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd840…1ec6backed Yes | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.69 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ea…0008backed Yes | 43c | 31.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Yes | 40c | 31.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Yes | 40c | 30.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed Yes | 40c | 25.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb1…1998backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +147%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x137f…ad22backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…6b7dbacked No | 58c | 18.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 2.5Over won
- Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 3.5Over won
- Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: CS Independiente Rivadavia (-1.5)CS Independiente Rivadavia won
- Spread: CS Independiente Rivadavia (-2.5)Deportivo La Guaira FC won
- Spread: Deportivo La Guaira FC (-1.5)CS Independiente Rivadavia won
- Spread: Deportivo La Guaira FC (-2.5)CS Independiente Rivadavia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.