South American Leagues · resolved market
Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36054c45fd1d6cf03d8e83703ae7e7085aba5a7602952d103b731a31c660f816
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,059
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,108
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,059 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 57c | 3,701$2,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.99 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 43c | 3,430$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.08 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 37c | 1,288$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.42 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Over | 63c | 1,100$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 62c | 923.03$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.61 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Over | 63c | 920$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.4 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d06…755bbacked Under | 42c | 581.31$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.15 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 41c | 420.35$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.7 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 58c | 408.67$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.64 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 37c | 339.28$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.97 | 1,945 | 51.3%998 W · 947 L | +40.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Over | 63c | 289.83$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.24 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Under | 40c | 255$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 37c | 242$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.04 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 39c | 219.7$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.82 | 173 | 52%90 W · 83 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 60c | 155.71$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.01 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 40c | 135$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 37c | 129.11$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 1,447 | 45.9%664 W · 783 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 40c | 114.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 55c | 110$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 36c | 103.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.43 | 213 | 49.8%106 W · 107 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…8151backed Over | 64c | 101.09$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.7 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 37c | 99.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 58c | 92.48$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.53 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20b…3ae4backed Over | 64c | 85.94$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…af1bbacked Under | 42c | 82.02$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…c6bbbacked Over | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…44b8backed Over | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 62c | 76.1$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 40c | 75.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 60c | 73.82$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 1,303 | 50.1%653 W · 650 L | -14.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c8…5312backed Over | 64c | 68.75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 60c | 54.13$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Under | 38c | 52.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Over | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0614…ff8bbacked Over | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 59c | 40.2$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf40…1e90backed Over | 63c | 40.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 37c | 38.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 60c | 30.23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 59c | 29.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Under | 41c | 28.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +35%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…d825backed Over | 58c | 28.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 62c | 25.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 788 | 56.3%444 W · 344 L | +23.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2119…9303backed Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Over | 68c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f4…e4cbbacked Over | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Over | 59c | 17.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb7…0d8cbacked Over | 64c | 17.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fac…b3b4backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 1.5this page
- Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 2.5Over won
- Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 3.5Over won
- Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: CS Independiente Rivadavia (-1.5)CS Independiente Rivadavia won
- Spread: CS Independiente Rivadavia (-2.5)Deportivo La Guaira FC won
- Spread: Deportivo La Guaira FC (-1.5)CS Independiente Rivadavia won
- Spread: Deportivo La Guaira FC (-2.5)CS Independiente Rivadavia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.