TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will SD Eibar win on 2026-05-16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$134,275
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$141,578

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,275 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes40c87,918$35,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,296.3715034.7%52 W · 98 L+0.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No60c19,432$11,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,848.481,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No61c16,941$10,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,606.879743.3%42 W · 55 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No59c13,302$7,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,487.944,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No59c9,413$5,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,856.752,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No60c8,838$5,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,565.771,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No59c7,911$4,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,237.3940357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No60c4,959$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,959.0213645.6%62 W · 74 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb890…ae4ebacked Yes42c4,712$1,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,961.66520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-55.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No60c4,310$2,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,713.1598833.4%330 W · 658 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No59c4,076$2,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,671.023,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9ff…79dcbacked Yes44c3,623$1,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5772365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.8wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+32.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7841…7273backed Yes40c2,500$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99513419.4%26 W · 108 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No60c2,222$1,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.1641351.8%214 W · 199 L+17.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked No58c2,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.982070%14 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes41c1,605$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65810245.1%46 W · 56 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No68c1,261$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.1210556.2%59 W · 46 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No59c1,200$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49211566.1%76 W · 39 L+13.9wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+36.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5839…2c33backed Yes45c1,117$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005957.6%34 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed No58c1,110$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.22060%12 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No59c1,088$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.0827257.7%157 W · 115 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed No58c1,025$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.474035%14 W · 26 L-6.8wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-39.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x72e6…7bf4backed Yes43c1,024$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.882437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked No60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40013051.5%67 W · 63 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed No59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41013450.7%68 W · 66 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9351…ef0fbacked Yes43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4301428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-38.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No59c779.43$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.7968050.4%343 W · 337 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No62c645.15$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.1611252.7%59 W · 53 L+9.6wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+11.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No60c583.74$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.6792345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No60c582.15$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.7469350.9%353 W · 340 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4a05…754abacked Yes44c570.8$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.1512045.8%55 W · 65 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No58c549.99$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22945250.2%227 W · 225 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed No58c546.34$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.6822658.4%132 W · 94 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed No57c513.14$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.6514146.8%66 W · 75 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No60c492.87$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.6675051.3%385 W · 365 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No59c471.75$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.281,55951.6%804 W · 755 L-9.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d29…8264backed No60c466.67$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.671566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+38.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No58c440.99$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.2228045.4%127 W · 153 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4f8…2869backed No60c416.67$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.672152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ce8…63febacked Yes39c384.62$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505440.7%22 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed No60c336.15$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.119758.8%57 W · 40 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes42c294.78$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.211331%35 W · 78 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No62c294.73$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11213445.5%61 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed No59c290.61$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.119865.2%129 W · 69 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed No61c277.9$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.915655.8%87 W · 69 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed No61c264.1$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1033953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce54…90bcbacked No58c260.1$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf98c…043ebacked Yes43c250$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.5540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-41.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No60c249.58$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.231952.4%167 W · 152 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x62be…444cbacked Yes41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001968.4%13 W · 6 L+4.5wins+0.24per pick45cpaid+59.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022939.3%90 W · 139 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf33f…51dabacked Yes42c235.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010361.2%63 W · 40 L+13.8wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+28.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc936…c08abacked Yes39c233.09$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925026%13 W · 37 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd741…0079backed Yes11c230.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251844.4%8 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick29cpaid+24.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc5f…cf7cbacked No64c204.75$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.751844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed No60c202.42$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.973627.8%10 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid+21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e82…af92backed No60c188$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.21060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No56c186.96$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.5292254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No61c164.2$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.2333161.3%203 W · 128 L+12.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes42c145.2$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.7941348.7%201 W · 212 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No65c143$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.1483640%334 W · 502 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes38c138.99$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.71,03547.9%496 W · 539 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes38c136.14$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6489050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed No63c135.99$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.325154.9%28 W · 23 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed No60c133.21$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.3720050.5%101 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked No60c122.27$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.918961.8%55 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Yes42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507552%39 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7053…25e4backed Yes42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504942.9%21 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Yes42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506651.5%34 W · 32 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No59c115$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.151,49738.6%578 W · 919 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf47c…e36bbacked No60c111.57$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.63450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x189c…2b05backed Yes36c102.78$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379721.6%21 W · 76 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick23cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6afa…e227backed No59c101.69$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.691968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed No57c100.32$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.812052.5%63 W · 57 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439154.9%50 W · 41 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4123855.9%133 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbffb…a60ebacked No58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422556%14 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes41c97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7726853%142 W · 126 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Yes43c94.75$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.7419258.9%113 W · 79 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc119…7d4dbacked Yes37c94.59$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3532444.8%145 W · 179 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No60c94.56$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8874457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes43c93.19$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011350.4%57 W · 56 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8c8…7c4cbacked No60c88.18$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3520252.5%106 W · 96 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x697e…9904backed No58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.213243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d6a…f43fbacked Yes35c85.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x369f…abb5backed No58c84.37$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.44450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-22.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed No67c83.41$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.865141.2%21 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes38c73.5$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.011,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed No60c66.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.678956.2%50 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0165…b1c6backed Yes44c63.64$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283855.3%21 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeebb…deffbacked Yes41c60.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511656.9%66 W · 50 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked No59c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.614552.4%76 W · 69 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf18…af99backed Yes50c59.52$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3027055.2%149 W · 121 L+1.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x628d…a012backed Yes41c58.54$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410937.6%41 W · 68 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed No61c58.2$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.79054.4%49 W · 41 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78d7…291dbacked Yes41c57.81$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.941338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7210…521fbacked No59c54.24$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.241973.7%14 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+21.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x41e0…00cbbacked Yes41c53.66$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223450%17 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe61d…5f97backed Yes41c52.64$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.612040%8 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64ec…931dbacked Yes38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206717.9%12 W · 55 L-8.9wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-44.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.