La Liga · resolved market
Will Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa win on 2026-05-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c3c20bb540e043756bc2dfae1762465f86ff597d21a2afaa91354744bbc276b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,328
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,870
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,328 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked No | 15c | 6,398$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.54 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 74c | 5,617$4,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,467.14 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 11c | 2,683$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.66 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 805.45$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.44 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 11c | 564.09$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.82 | 1,418 | 45.6%646 W · 772 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 75c | 533.1$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.02 | 988 | 33.4%330 W · 658 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 9c | 467.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 32c | 444.69$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.41 | 750 | 51.3%385 W · 365 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed No | 7c | 430$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 94 | 23.4%22 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf98c…043ebacked No | 72c | 415$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…9904backed No | 18c | 218.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 199.98$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.99 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e82…af92backed No | 66c | 188$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.14 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 73c | 171.66$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.35 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 30c | 156.33$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.47 | 452 | 50.2%227 W · 225 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7053…25e4backed Yes | 31c | 145.16$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.16 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 331 | 61.3%203 W · 128 L | +12.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 11c | 138.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 33c | 114.15$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.4 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd741…0079backed No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 67c | 85$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.37 | 680 | 50.4%343 W · 337 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 30c | 81.57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.1 | 280 | 45.4%127 W · 153 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…00cbbacked Yes | 32c | 68.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.75 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 31c | 67.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.78 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 20c | 58.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 178 | 42.1%75 W · 103 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 25c | 56.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 160 | 40%64 W · 96 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 25c | 56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.89 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 32c | 45.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.81 | 693 | 50.9%353 W · 340 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 80c | 44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 31c | 38.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 1,559 | 51.6%804 W · 755 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 31c | 38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 458 | 41%188 W · 270 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 31c | 37.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.14 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf8…4d13backed Yes | 31c | 34.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976f…8a71backed Yes | 31c | 33.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc79…249ebacked No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc251…a5d3backed No | 68c | 26.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8862…bbf5backed No | 73c | 24.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 73cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7089…7351backed No | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 69c | 21.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 198 | 65.2%129 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 79c | 17.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Yes | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 72c | 14.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa win on 2026-05-16?this page
- Will Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. SD Eibar end in a draw?No won
- Will SD Eibar win on 2026-05-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.