South American Leagues · resolved market
CD Cuenca vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7e8fa7365e1280d77cd98ef3232a183c63f19d0ff9fb566e7a7f1ae6ebb3f97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,882
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,861
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,882 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Under | 59c | 36,281$21,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,403.76 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 41c | 12,398$5,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,308.93 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 41c | 10,031$4,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,917.68 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Over | 41c | 4,722$1,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,785.98 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 41c | 1,793$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.88 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Over | 41c | 1,400$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826 | 230 | 57.4%132 W · 98 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Over | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.51 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed Over | 41c | 1,047$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.48 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 41c | 992.12$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.35 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 79c | 606.69$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.51 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Over | 41c | 562$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.58 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +7.9wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…604abacked Under | 37c | 538.1$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Over | 41c | 444.93$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.51 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 44c | 280.69$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.05 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…cba6backed Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked Over | 41c | 243.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 41c | 213$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.67 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 63c | 192.24$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.13 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Over | 41c | 158.54$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.54 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Over | 41c | 141.05$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.22 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 42c | 126.5$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.37 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 41c | 70$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.3 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Over | 41c | 62.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.88 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 40c | 50.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.04 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Over | 41c | 49.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2102…087dbacked Under | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Over | 41c | 36.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Over | 41c | 36.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfe…bfb7backed Over | 41c | 34.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 65c | 17.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 79c | 17.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 74c | 17.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Cuenca vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 2.5this page
- CD Cuenca vs. Recoleta FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CD Cuenca vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- CD Cuenca vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CD Cuenca (-1.5)Recoleta FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.