South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Lanús win on 2026-03-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7264d42d933d2284a1b1f94edf9e298a545da01a50663f89c662798ef03fdc4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,412
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,873
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,412 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes | 44c | 35,261$15,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,445.28 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 56c | 7,000$3,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,115.1 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 4,954$3,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,906.39 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760 | 248 | 55.2%137 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4956…e2c7backed No | 58c | 3,839$2,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,628.99 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 56c | 3,664$2,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.81 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 56c | 1,750$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 56c | 1,677$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.96 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f44…1c0bbacked Yes | 39c | 970.21$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -45%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10f9…9d91backed Yes | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked No | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.75 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 56c | 650$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 56c | 650$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286 | 230 | 56.5%130 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 53c | 566.02$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.03 | 273 | 49.5%135 W · 138 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 55c | 512.88$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.5 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf66…3436backed Yes | 50c | 501.55$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 56c | 492.87$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.86 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 56c | 450$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…9013backed Yes | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 213 | 58.7%125 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 165 | 59.4%98 W · 67 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 53c | 344.21$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.03 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Yes | 49c | 318.37$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 39c | 299.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.97 | 154 | 24%37 W · 117 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 55c | 299.07$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.32 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 56c | 292$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.48 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 41c | 260.73$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.31 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 56c | 250$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 216 | 57.9%125 W · 91 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 56c | 250$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 203 | 60.6%123 W · 80 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes | 42c | 238.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 58c | 208.71$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.22 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 220 | 58.6%129 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 34c | 194.41$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed No | 59c | 166.1$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.1 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 28c | 153.92$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 242 | 57%138 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 189 | 59.3%112 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 72c | 144.47$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.86 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed No | 59c | 120.94$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.05 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7053…25e4backed Yes | 42c | 119.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd6…b378backed Yes | 39c | 115.38$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Yes | 30c | 111.73$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +6.1wins | +0.18per pick | 33cpaid | +67%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa823…3327backed Yes | 47c | 102.16$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed No | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 134 | 65.7%88 W · 46 L | +13.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked No | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 153 | 59.5%91 W · 62 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 36c | 95.93$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.66 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…1829backed Yes | 27c | 92.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 51c | 88.89$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed No | 63c | 83.35$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.82 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 35c | 78.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Yes | 42c | 78.15$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 71c | 77.97$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed Yes | 32c | 77.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -72%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 54c | 77.54$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.92 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 56c | 75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 179 | 60.3%108 W · 71 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 19c | 62.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 56c | 56.43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 175 | 60.6%106 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x516e…00afbacked No | 53c | 52.83$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.32per pick | 56cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Yes | 37c | 48.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 130 | 23.1%30 W · 100 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 50c | 48.04$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 42c | 47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a9…7c4ebacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Yes | 25c | 40.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 78c | 38.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 48c | 36.41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 64c | 32.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed No | 55c | 30.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 58c | 26.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d49…7cc0backed No | 75c | 25.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 127 | 61.4%78 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8f…da09backed No | 55c | 21.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 79c | 17.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Lanús win on 2026-03-08?this page
- Will CA Lanús vs. CD Riestra end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CD Riestra win on 2026-03-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.