Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a0a9a1e4232967f5914c0fac53c00b030d947ff61959a4053726cb175f505e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,745
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,055
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,745 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6086…a5f9backed No | 1c | 3,609$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 310 | 50.3%156 W · 154 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed No | 1c | 2,503$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed No | 1c | 1,350$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0d…d2d9backed No | 2c | 929$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 12c | 907.95$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.89 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa895…faacbacked No | 3c | 787.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 203 | 38.4%78 W · 125 L | +30.4wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +177%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc1…2ababacked Yes | 53c | 750.13$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.79 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 9c | 701.29$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.53 | 749 | 26.7%200 W · 549 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed No | 2c | 694.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 13c | 524.08$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.18 | 636 | 56.1%357 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 78c | 429.82$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.7 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 9c | 416$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 621 | 9.8%61 W · 560 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba96…95a7backed Yes | 49c | 387.87$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.03 | 240 | 29.2%70 W · 170 L | -15.8wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01ce…27a2backed Yes | 79c | 292.47$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.01 | 553 | 36.7%203 W · 350 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae22…8794backed Yes | 44c | 243.1$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.16 | 462 | 32.9%152 W · 310 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…f467backed No | 15c | 196$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 65c | 171.66$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.41 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 42c | 164.07$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.43 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…dbaabacked Yes | 35c | 155.45$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 113 | 30.1%34 W · 79 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x662e…4b20backed No | 25c | 152.63$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +16.4wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4e…7dbbbacked No | 23c | 149.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 386 | 55.7%215 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 29c | 149.64$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.34 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5198…4964backed Yes | 77c | 127.54$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.88 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac4…e43abacked Yes | 41c | 115.5$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.46 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…4444backed Yes | 44c | 114.83$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.88 | 97 | 28.9%28 W · 69 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe30…24d7backed No | 24c | 111.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 67c | 109.42$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.3 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…4ff1backed Yes | 46c | 107.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.62 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x836f…6bd0backed Yes | 39c | 100.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.15 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9188…e046backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 569 | 21.8%124 W · 445 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…b8a8backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +30%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x577e…7e31backed Yes | 41c | 98.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.39 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +198.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c06…62e3backed No | 44c | 96.12$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.49 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +8.7wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb934…57ebbacked Yes | 35c | 96.08$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.53 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 47c | 94.74$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.81 | 452 | 38.5%174 W · 278 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed Yes | 38c | 93.22$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 50c | 89.18$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.35 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…99d2backed No | 57c | 87.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 833 | 60.7%506 W · 327 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f7…8bf1backed No | 59c | 86.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.13 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…1274backed Yes | 37c | 79.34$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.31 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc7…2e22backed Yes | 32c | 77.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.46 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b2…49aabacked Yes | 43c | 77.14$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.26 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…3554backed Yes | 37c | 75.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.63 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc29…1c5ebacked No | 57c | 71.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked No | 27c | 69.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 572 | 32.9%188 W · 384 L | -104.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 31-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7e…c08ebacked No | 64c | 68.13$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.36 | 570 | 38.1%217 W · 353 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90b7…148cbacked Yes | 37c | 67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.21 | 93 | 31.2%29 W · 64 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x467a…e448backed Yes | 68c | 64.43$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.89 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd918…aa30backed Yes | 27c | 60.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.45 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -63%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79d0…4dffbacked Yes | 37c | 55.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8a…9362backed Yes | 38c | 54.64$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.86 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…76f5backed Yes | 35c | 53.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56df…edc2backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Yes | 64c | 49.63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…dd8ebacked No | 51c | 47.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 163 | 48.5%79 W · 84 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2982…60ddbacked No | 55c | 47.28$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x272e…6e99backed No | 25c | 46.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd0…046fbacked No | 26c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 253 | 35.2%89 W · 164 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6b…c559backed Yes | 40c | 44.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7834…4322backed Yes | 33c | 44.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.91 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 34c | 43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 621 | 37.7%234 W · 387 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…6465backed No | 61c | 40.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 375 | 33.6%126 W · 249 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad50…3122backed Yes | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 474 | 23.6%112 W · 362 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba7…69fbbacked No | 62c | 39.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce3…1689backed Yes | 36c | 39.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 474 | 32.5%154 W · 320 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19ad…2dbbbacked Yes | 80c | 36.75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 47c | 36.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…923fbacked No | 69c | 34.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 34c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x890d…7522backed No | 68c | 31.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe52a…43dfbacked No | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa493…1b55backed Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 269 | 33.1%89 W · 180 L | +21.8wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe03a…439fbacked No | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 189 | 10.6%20 W · 169 L | -87.5wins | -0.46per pick | 57cpaid | -84%equal weight | 5-0.41 edge/pick |
| 0x1173…eb6ebacked No | 44c | 28.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 55c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ee…5b9fbacked No | 62c | 27.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeac…2970backed No | 65c | 27.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…7825backed No | 72c | 25.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 289 | 54.3%157 W · 132 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa0…17c7backed Yes | 51c | 20.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x984d…08f3backed Yes | 74c | 18.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c04…3d8bbacked No | 63c | 17.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…eabbbacked No | 64c | 16.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 239 | 23.4%56 W · 183 L | -17.1wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b7…8030backed No | 79c | 13.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 125 | 64.8%81 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 18?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on April 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on April 18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.