Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana reach $100 March 16-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78747486e84b5f5ea7864071eed4711d9602903091a3af71d16dc5fb9705aa36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,967
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,967 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x55be…dca3backed Yes | 23c | 2,124$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.83 | 291 | 26.5%77 W · 214 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 30c | 763.58$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.65 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82a…9055backed No | 68c | 682.54$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.07 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…e9a4backed Yes | 17c | 596.04$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.04 | 142 | 13.4%19 W · 123 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacca…08b1backed Yes | 53c | 416.66$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.83 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +81%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c6…927bbacked Yes | 6c | 409.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 167 | 2.4%4 W · 163 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…238fbacked Yes | 14c | 356.84$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2e…13cbbacked No | 55c | 350$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.05 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 4c | 307$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f69…acb6backed Yes | 8c | 299.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 179 | 2.2%4 W · 175 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a4…a548backed Yes | 10c | 183.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8322…b5fbbacked No | 50c | 144.57$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed Yes | 47c | 132.13$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.38 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed Yes | 18c | 122.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…13bfbacked No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 181 | 62.4%113 W · 68 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac8…c303backed No | 49c | 80.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 54c | 65.03$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.24 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked Yes | 55c | 28.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -5.3wins | -0.25per pick | 49cpaid | -53%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8133…6a9abacked No | 57c | 25.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana reach $100 March 16-22?this page
- Will Solana dip to $40 March 16-22?No won
- Will Solana dip to $60 March 16-22?No won
- Will Solana dip to $70 March 16-22?No won
- Will Solana dip to $80 March 16-22?No won
- Will Solana reach $110 March 16-22?No won
- Will Solana reach $120 March 16-22?No won
- Will Solana reach $130 March 16-22?No won
- Will Solana reach $160 March 16-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.