Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd7e22b0a9debb771313207c5af8c7ba6cb90c3e7d7362e336867e3960279907
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,023
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,350
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,023 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 23c | 918.7$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.19 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a19…3c95backed Yes | 47c | 721.29$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.48 | 428 | 57%244 W · 184 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 28c | 656.96$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.48 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Yes | 42c | 531.9$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.19 | 657 | 49.8%327 W · 330 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 27c | 490.96$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.87 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 63c | 325.77$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.1 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 36c | 260.3$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.79 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 63c | 253.83$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.37 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 70c | 252.37$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.71 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 35c | 216.05$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.33 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 26c | 213.7$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.53 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x035a…ff68backed No | 56c | 198.99$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.56 | 315 | 42.9%135 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1b…d915backed Yes | 14c | 189.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5680…7f79backed No | 78c | 184.06$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.15 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 78c | 175.28$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.37 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…c335backed Yes | 19c | 145.76$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 862 | 26.8%231 W · 631 L | +28.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 27c | 132.94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…d88cbacked Yes | 21c | 131.15$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 62c | 128.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.66 | 599 | 23.5%141 W · 458 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74ea…b265backed Yes | 59c | 123.97$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.76 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd228…ea6fbacked Yes | 20c | 108.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 229 | 34.1%78 W · 151 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 66c | 107.06$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.87 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…6c5fbacked No | 57c | 106.1$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.1 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…d270backed Yes | 22c | 103.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47e…f8abbacked No | 63c | 101.72$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.46 | 240 | 66.3%159 W · 81 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd01…d8cdbacked No | 74c | 95.58$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 332 | 43.1%143 W · 189 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5685…3056backed No | 74c | 92.67$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.03 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad43…1427backed Yes | 35c | 85.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 78c | 83.49$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 57c | 83.43$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…e589backed Yes | 40c | 81.55$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.59 | 379 | 42.5%161 W · 218 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 75c | 80.17$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80bb…b8aabacked No | 60c | 79.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 67cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 42c | 74.84$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.71 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a5c…e8f2backed Yes | 20c | 69.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x248d…3512backed Yes | 25c | 69.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 43c | 68$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.71 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a7…9c23backed No | 59c | 67.13$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 178 | 38.8%69 W · 109 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ed…8b4bbacked Yes | 35c | 65.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 112 | 23.2%26 W · 86 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde55…dfc0backed Yes | 32c | 64.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa3…0d65backed No | 78c | 63.43$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 36 | 75%27 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc80f…6147backed Yes | 44c | 62.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 525 | 33.7%177 W · 348 L | +22.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 55c | 61.34$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 32c | 59.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed No | 72c | 56.81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 271 | 67.2%182 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c38…d6a6backed Yes | 31c | 52.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 64 | 21.9%14 W · 50 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…517ebacked Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1,643 | 27.8%456 W · 1,187 L | +117.6wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1,204 | 25.3%305 W · 899 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 34c | 49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Yes | 33c | 46.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 349 | 34.1%119 W · 230 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…6cb0backed Yes | 53c | 44.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 253 | 44.7%113 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…eff5backed Yes | 33c | 44.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 52c | 42.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…9ff2backed Yes | 44c | 38.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 323 | 52.9%171 W · 152 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…06a2backed Yes | 39c | 36.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7048…f896backed Yes | 42c | 36.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -4.9wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x83d8…555fbacked Yes | 61c | 34.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x356b…1c3fbacked Yes | 35c | 32.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 591 | 25.9%153 W · 438 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0d…6b9cbacked Yes | 33c | 31.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fa…0b7dbacked No | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 407 | 77.1%314 W · 93 L | +28.1wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce9a…8ea6backed No | 80c | 30.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 188 | 78.2%147 W · 41 L | +19.4wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…6465backed Yes | 40c | 30.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 375 | 33.6%126 W · 249 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8063backed No | 63c | 30.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 96 | 68.8%66 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…e7b7backed No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 1,585 | 78.5%1,244 W · 341 L | +39.7wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 80c | 29.24$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…906abacked No | 56c | 29.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 540 | 43.9%237 W · 303 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b7…847cbacked Yes | 53c | 28.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -6.1wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1098…10a7backed Yes | 41c | 28.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 417 | 33.8%141 W · 276 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 68c | 27.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd85…7a3dbacked No | 60c | 24.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,050 | 51.2%538 W · 512 L | -99.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5524…6592backed Yes | 66c | 24.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa081…e7a0backed No | 64c | 23.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 389 | 61.7%240 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 70c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x029a…8039backed Yes | 52c | 21.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32de…d5e4backed No | 54c | 21.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…b8aebacked No | 67c | 20.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 264 | 58.7%155 W · 109 L | -20.5wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 77c | 20.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 2,268 | 79.5%1,803 W · 465 L | +98.4wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa63f…a744backed No | 57c | 20.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e08…59d2backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…070cbacked No | 61c | 19.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c31…68a1backed No | 76c | 19.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x625f…5c20backed No | 79c | 18.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.81 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1e…9095backed No | 75c | 18.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 173 | 76.3%132 W · 41 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…c1b6backed No | 78c | 17.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.93 | 216 | 76.4%165 W · 51 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb423…c178backed No | 68c | 16.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 268 | 61.6%165 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked No | 63c | 16.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 572 | 32.9%188 W · 384 L | -104.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 31-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…d57dbacked No | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.41 | 486 | 72%350 W · 136 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a9…2227backed No | 80c | 14.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.94 | 71 | 73.2%52 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8a…3430backed No | 80c | 13.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.74 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ff…5596backed No | 80c | 12.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671e…5a23backed No | 80c | 12.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…d853backed No | 80c | 12.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66dd…fd27backed No | 80c | 12.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81d7…0d2abacked No | 80c | 12.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd37…aadebacked No | 80c | 12.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x137b…d133backed No | 80c | 12.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9efd…e57bbacked No | 80c | 12.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb72…17a7backed No | 80c | 12.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 20?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on April 20?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on April 20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.