F1 · resolved market
Leclerc vs. Verstappen
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x273c30a7e1b14eb39490b39f0b35884f949205d4387fd322c8efdbde1e7c9062
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leclercof Leclerc, Verstappen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,610
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,128
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,610 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Verstappen | 42c | 1,764$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.74 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Leclerc | 65c | 1,000$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.06 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Verstappen | 35c | 603.87$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.36 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Leclerc | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Leclerc | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Leclerc | 65c | 400.38$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.04 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Verstappen | 35c | 331.66$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa038…cda9backed Verstappen | 51c | 271.94$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Leclerc | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed Leclerc | 20c | 184.8$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.84 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…5a9abacked Leclerc | 57c | 160$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.3 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Leclerc | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 83 | 38.6%32 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Leclerc | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53f9…e920backed Leclerc | 66c | 148.68$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.68 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2847…5439backed Verstappen | 80c | 123.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.19 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Verstappen | 43c | 112.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Leclerc | 55c | 88.9$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd073…b757backed Leclerc | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddbc…28c3backed Verstappen | 76c | 60.63$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0934…f376backed Leclerc | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +5.7wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xffc5…3b2fbacked Verstappen | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889f…95b7backed Verstappen | 40c | 49.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Verstappen | 35c | 35.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb37…ff74backed Verstappen | 38c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eef…bbaabacked Verstappen | 47c | 24.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Leclerc vs. Verstappenthis page
- Albon vs. SainzAlbon won
- Alonso vs. Stroll Alonso won
- Hadjar vs. TsunodaHadjar won
- Hamilton vs. LeclercLeclerc won
- Hamilton vs. RussellHamilton won
- Piastri vs. Norris Norris won
- Verstappen vs. Norris Norris won
- Verstappen vs. PiastriPiastri won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.