F1 · resolved market
Will McLaren have the highest Constructor score at the 2025 Canadian Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaca5a7083e08239ec7784abfad5a3f1d9d3f8af5b3f5a77e1730381449d4ab11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,981
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,066
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,981 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed No | 42c | 579.71$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.83 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…2f88backed Yes | 60c | 334.75$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…b6e8backed Yes | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed No | 78c | 215.92$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 42c | 199.99$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.99 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec0…f1b8backed Yes | 57c | 149.98$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904f…50c6backed Yes | 27c | 145.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 159 | 22%35 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…451fbacked Yes | 54c | 111.84$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec2c…1b20backed No | 45c | 88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…f940backed Yes | 55c | 59.96$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 52c | 54.71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…94aabacked Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0934…f376backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +5.7wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…4bcabacked No | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0308…182cbacked Yes | 69c | 38.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9b…6435backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df7…522dbacked No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4cf…78c4backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…ab48backed No | 51c | 24.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb482…fbc7backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will McLaren have the highest Constructor score at the 2025 Canadian Grand Prix?this page
- Will Mercedes have the highest Constructor score at the 2025 Canadian Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Red Bull have the highest Constructor score at the 2025 Canadian Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.