TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. UCF Knights

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Oklahoma State Cowboysof Oklahoma State Cowboys, UCF Knights
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$155,863
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$153,469

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,863 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked UCF Knights28c16,358$4,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,566.175,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked UCF Knights51c5,937$3,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,032.741,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked UCF Knights51c4,084$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.6443450%217 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys66c3,944$2,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,331.281,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Oklahoma State Cowboys41c2,810$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,649.946446.8%217 W · 247 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Oklahoma State Cowboys50c2,303$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,153.812,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Oklahoma State Cowboys39c2,177$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,320.954,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys54c1,868$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.71,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Oklahoma State Cowboys31c1,861$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,279.41,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed UCF Knights71c1,417$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.2413445.5%61 W · 73 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick42cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked UCF Knights80c1,342$1,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,073.241,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed UCF Knights18c1,182$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.0993447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked UCF Knights79c1,155$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912.092,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys28c1,002$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.0355532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed UCF Knights58c861.54$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.729144%40 W · 51 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Oklahoma State Cowboys32c847.42$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.173,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed UCF Knights61c808.42$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.832,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Oklahoma State Cowboys58c711.14$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.017346.6%34 W · 39 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys21c647.35$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.4123149.8%115 W · 116 L+14.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+38.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys63c638.61$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.9149345.4%224 W · 269 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed UCF Knights37c605.24$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.862,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74c5…6cb7backed Oklahoma State Cowboys22c546.7$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.423647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid+17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys43c544.48$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.6977142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed UCF Knights68c495.2$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.3893247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Oklahoma State Cowboys79c492.68$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.013,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked UCF Knights39c492.24$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.4284854.5%462 W · 386 L+32.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56be…88febacked Oklahoma State Cowboys21c473.43$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.012326.1%6 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8bd…1454backed Oklahoma State Cowboys21c473.43$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.01333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick17cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x985f…7a5bbacked UCF Knights54c462.96$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2509051.1%46 W · 44 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Oklahoma State Cowboys17c439$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.3762140.4%251 W · 370 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Oklahoma State Cowboys63c418.54$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.821,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed UCF Knights32c403.25$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.572,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Oklahoma State Cowboys64c373.77$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.821,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ff4…743dbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys63c312.42$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.6514451.4%74 W · 70 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys41c310.54$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.5987047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys62c301.58$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.724,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Oklahoma State Cowboys29c300.43$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.252,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Oklahoma State Cowboys20c300$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2402,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa005…6646backed UCF Knights27c295$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.4312540.8%51 W · 74 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Oklahoma State Cowboys34c286.2$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.914049.3%69 W · 71 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a2b…c97cbacked UCF Knights71c279.89$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.566357.1%36 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked UCF Knights18c221.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.795740.4%23 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed UCF Knights20c212.06$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2718439.1%72 W · 112 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Oklahoma State Cowboys21c199.02$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.481,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys35c191.38$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.1725246.4%117 W · 135 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed UCF Knights65c179.03$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.043,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Oklahoma State Cowboys22c156.28$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.981528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc0d…78a5backed Oklahoma State Cowboys22c153.98$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.1944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+29%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ef3…df7fbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys21c142.03$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.27319.2%14 W · 59 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cbb…59fcbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys67c134.61$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.81973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed UCF Knights76c128.29$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.091,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked UCF Knights27c122.38$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.171,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed UCF Knights19c105.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.161030%3 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-36%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb7c…3a5bbacked UCF Knights29c104.64$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.139747.4%46 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x701f…9b8fbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys22c102.65$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.073151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed UCF Knights44c100.35$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1622953.7%123 W · 106 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad13…d3abbacked UCF Knights19c99.46$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.920234.2%69 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x958a…c897backed Oklahoma State Cowboys22c99.4$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.5323331.3%73 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3b9…4df2backed Oklahoma State Cowboys34c99.21$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.48333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick13cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Oklahoma State Cowboys41c99.15$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.427358.6%160 W · 113 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys21c77.16$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.961,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed UCF Knights16c73.63$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7825325.3%64 W · 189 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a5d…fad9backed Oklahoma State Cowboys35c71.26$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.321127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-34.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa82f…ba73backed Oklahoma State Cowboys21c71.01$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.11942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a38…81abbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys60c71$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.44959.2%29 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93a2…5181backed Oklahoma State Cowboys45c67.07$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.8913141.2%54 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5fc…28abbacked UCF Knights56c66.6$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.618748.3%42 W · 45 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys56c65.75$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7871655.3%396 W · 320 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Oklahoma State Cowboys48c65.62$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8921059.5%125 W · 85 L+17.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x43e0…132abacked Oklahoma State Cowboys21c65.1$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.43933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Oklahoma State Cowboys22c60.94$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5392246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8510…57e6backed Oklahoma State Cowboys31c60.64$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.845056%28 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Oklahoma State Cowboys21c52.69$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6361244.9%275 W · 337 L+1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Oklahoma State Cowboys21c50$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.520254.5%110 W · 92 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed UCF Knights47c47.35$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4719348.7%94 W · 99 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed UCF Knights47c43.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.241,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed UCF Knights33c42$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.021,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked UCF Knights78c41.03$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c0b…4d31backed Oklahoma State Cowboys32c39.54$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.891747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90a5…7759backed Oklahoma State Cowboys72c37.88$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.793946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked UCF Knights79c29.67$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4412,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x586d…fb12backed Oklahoma State Cowboys51c24.09$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7418557.8%107 W · 78 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked UCF Knights79c22$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3826550.6%134 W · 131 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf08d…d45fbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys79c19.88$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.181250%6 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-30.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb3ac…1afdbacked UCF Knights79c15.1$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.936861.8%42 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x573d…afbabacked UCF Knights79c15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.85580%4 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick78cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.