Europa Conference League · resolved market
HŠK Zrinjski Mostar vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33a2c5f75b53c9e20be3b15dd939b6cf247602f7d5f52674d40e96154dc07fcd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,321
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,079
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,321 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc311…44fcbacked Over | 58c | 17,319$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 43c | 11,444$4,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,484.89 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 42c | 4,654$1,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,705.47 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 3,654$2,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,604.19 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c4…a00fbacked Under | 47c | 3,027$1,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Over | 58c | 1,725$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 59c | 1,500$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 36c | 1,250$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.5 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Over | 46c | 936.45$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.45 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +388.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 42c | 779.22$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.95 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 48c | 704.94$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.25 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 610.56$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.19 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 57c | 590.79$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 51c | 584.69$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.61 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 67c | 567$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.02 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Over | 56c | 534.79$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.18 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.8wins | -0.43per pick | 54cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Over | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 51c | 487.25$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.53 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -6.8wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 52c | 452.44$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.17 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed Over | 53c | 439.93$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.16 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over | 62c | 390.32$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -4.8wins | -0.20per pick | 62cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 42c | 331.68$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.69 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 65c | 250$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 46c | 244.99$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.5 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 54c | 243.34$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.9 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d75…1af0backed Over | 58c | 207.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 56c | 179.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 149 | 63.1%94 W · 55 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 44c | 169.51$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.05 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 44c | 163.09$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.09 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 45c | 158.05$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.57 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Over | 51c | 155.77$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 35c | 155$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 42c | 140.92$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.68 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 43c | 115.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.06 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 55c | 108.39$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 43c | 103$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.9 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 56c | 101.79$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd573…f99ebacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Under | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 44c | 91.09$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.01 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…1d41backed Over | 66c | 90.91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf948…0931backed Over | 39c | 84.96$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 56c | 79.73$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x462a…45f0backed Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Under | 46c | 71.18$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 44c | 69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 56c | 68.23$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.3 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 44c | 64.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb2…5a2dbacked Under | 44c | 59.91$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6912…2aabbacked Over | 56c | 58.93$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Over | 57c | 50.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 81 | 30.9%25 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5683…3ea1backed Over | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Under | 51c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 49c | 36.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…41f2backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48b9…abe2backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed Over | 56c | 36.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…132abacked Over | 45c | 35.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x433d…f9e8backed Over | 43c | 35.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa190…c7b0backed Over | 45c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3c…61e2backed Over | 45c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1b…c38fbacked Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 45c | 31.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 251 | 57%143 W · 108 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 45c | 30.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…8147backed Over | 57c | 30.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd346…4c48backed Over | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…af03backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…d227backed Under | 50c | 26.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Under | 61c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…60d6backed Over | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 53 | 71.7%38 W · 15 L | +6.0wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…54d2backed Over | 54c | 19.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…b17ebacked Over | 58c | 18.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- HŠK Zrinjski Mostar vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5this page
- HŠK Zrinjski Mostar vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- HŠK Zrinjski Mostar vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- HŠK Zrinjski Mostar vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- HŠK Zrinjski Mostar vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.