Europa Conference League · resolved market
HŠK Zrinjski Mostar vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2720d216d14a4c9047e4bad131bcdb573c127b109df7590b6798df5049999a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,918
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,681
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,918 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fdd…3608backed Over | 80c | 2,054$1,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 33c | 1,969$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.67 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Under | 22c | 1,281$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.16 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 1,086$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.3 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 23c | 653.84$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.83 | 2,175 | 37.6%817 W · 1,358 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 32c | 491.34$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.27 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 73c | 380$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.6 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b9…8714backed Over | 66c | 249.95$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 19c | 198.15$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.45 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…1d41backed Over | 70c | 191.51$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca9…37d8backed Over | 78c | 160.03$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.03 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 18c | 146.03$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 706 | 39.5%279 W · 427 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 75c | 142.85$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 19c | 132.73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 79c | 127.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 149 | 63.1%94 W · 55 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 240 | 49.2%118 W · 122 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8122backed Over | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Under | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed Over | 80c | 73.78$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 69c | 72.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 147 | 41.5%61 W · 86 L | -14.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…cd06backed Over | 44c | 70$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Over | 80c | 70$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 21c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc92…6564backed Over | 72c | 55.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.85 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc89…e4d0backed Over | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 34c | 50.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dda…35d5backed Over | 79c | 45.57$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4238…3233backed Over | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -43%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Over | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…54d2backed Over | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…8528backed Over | 72c | 36.11$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…434dbacked Over | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5683…3ea1backed Over | 73c | 27.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Over | 57c | 26.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0291…7cd5backed Over | 79c | 24.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c07…e331backed Over | 79c | 23.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…a572backed Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- HŠK Zrinjski Mostar vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5this page
- HŠK Zrinjski Mostar vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- HŠK Zrinjski Mostar vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- HŠK Zrinjski Mostar vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- HŠK Zrinjski Mostar vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.