Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Lafayette Leopards vs. Colgate Raiders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89c73e27d08230e53e310c95b9a143d495d094aa1c94846c63138702ff331041
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lafayette Leopardsof Lafayette Leopards, Colgate Raiders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,420
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,340
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,420 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lafayette Leopards | 47c | 7,001$3,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,676.36 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Colgate Raiders | 54c | 3,156$1,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690.4 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Lafayette Leopards | 47c | 2,902$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.96 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Colgate Raiders | 55c | 2,812$1,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,549.33 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd3…0d61backed Lafayette Leopards | 53c | 1,802$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.86 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -6.6wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lafayette Leopards | 19c | 1,771$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442.38 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Colgate Raiders | 40c | 1,557$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.53 | 434 | 50%217 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Colgate Raiders | 45c | 1,220$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.76 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Colgate Raiders | 78c | 895.41$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.04 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Lafayette Leopards | 26c | 699.99$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.99 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Colgate Raiders | 48c | 678.37$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.15 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Colgate Raiders | 45c | 601.74$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.57 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Colgate Raiders | 54c | 519.98$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.19 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Lafayette Leopards | 22c | 500$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.98 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Lafayette Leopards | 20c | 461.77$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.43 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Colgate Raiders | 79c | 392.01$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.72 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…6646backed Colgate Raiders | 22c | 372$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.22 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Colgate Raiders | 46c | 335.58$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.35 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Colgate Raiders | 59c | 298.52$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.37 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab65…4a03backed Lafayette Leopards | 19c | 255.88$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.27 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Lafayette Leopards | 68c | 241.81$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.54 | 143 | 54.5%78 W · 65 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Colgate Raiders | 57c | 210.98$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.26 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Lafayette Leopards | 23c | 199.36$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.51 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Lafayette Leopards | 18c | 198.97$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.15 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74c5…6cb7backed Colgate Raiders | 77c | 183.27$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.12 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Lafayette Leopards | 19c | 181.89$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.33 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Colgate Raiders | 51c | 168$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.84 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…21a1backed Lafayette Leopards | 43c | 151.33$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.89 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed Colgate Raiders | 38c | 149.79$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.41 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Lafayette Leopards | 20c | 149.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.33 | 167 | 21%35 W · 132 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Lafayette Leopards | 29c | 136.94$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.22 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7646…b2a1backed Lafayette Leopards | 32c | 125.23$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.53 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +7.8wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Lafayette Leopards | 20c | 121.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.1 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Colgate Raiders | 30c | 116.13$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.23 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Colgate Raiders | 78c | 99.7$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.77 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…4a48backed Lafayette Leopards | 18c | 83.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.52 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Lafayette Leopards | 45c | 82.01$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.84 | 184 | 39.1%72 W · 112 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked Lafayette Leopards | 19c | 78.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.61 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Colgate Raiders | 22c | 77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 195 | 22.1%43 W · 152 L | -36.3wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Colgate Raiders | 36c | 71.45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc14d…f8b4backed Colgate Raiders | 52c | 66.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Lafayette Leopards | 21c | 61.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ec…d0f5backed Lafayette Leopards | 20c | 60$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 60 | 25%15 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x610d…6c37backed Lafayette Leopards | 20c | 51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Lafayette Leopards | 20c | 50.17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.13 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Colgate Raiders | 49c | 48.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lafayette Leopards | 25c | 46.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Colgate Raiders | 32c | 45.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…453dbacked Colgate Raiders | 45c | 43.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c3…9792backed Colgate Raiders | 59c | 39.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 270 | 55.6%150 W · 120 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…5bacbacked Colgate Raiders | 79c | 39.09$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.88 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Lafayette Leopards | 47c | 31.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf72…b4a6backed Colgate Raiders | 79c | 31.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 94 | 70.2%66 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Colgate Raiders | 52c | 27.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74c…adfebacked Colgate Raiders | 70c | 25.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.45per pick | 65cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbe…993abacked Lafayette Leopards | 77c | 25.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Colgate Raiders | 64c | 23.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Lafayette Leopards | 47c | 22.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Lafayette Leopards | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 144 | 61.8%89 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lafayette Leopards vs. Colgate Raidersthis page
- Lafayette Leopards vs. Colgate Raiders: O/U 144.5Under won
- Spread: Colgate Raiders (-8.5)Lafayette Leopards won
- Spread: Colgate Raiders (-9.5)Lafayette Leopards won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.