Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Wright State Raiders vs. Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce02828c3b698fce4ae5173d5f3213fa6d363c7af47fb0319526c16a5064f4b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wright State Raidersof Wright State Raiders, Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,319
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,312
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,319 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Wright State Raiders | 56c | 7,179$4,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,127.69 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wright State Raiders | 57c | 3,507$1,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516.82 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 43c | 3,154$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.36 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Wright State Raiders | 55c | 3,134$1,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,401.36 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 44c | 3,106$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,366.61 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 45c | 1,936$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.25 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 44c | 1,660$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.82 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Wright State Raiders | 59c | 1,382$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.41 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 45c | 1,276$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.56 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 45c | 887.93$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.17 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 23c | 853.3$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.46 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 47c | 545.9$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.74 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 51c | 487.98$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.25 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 44c | 475.86$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.38 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 44c | 451.08$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.47 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 44c | 338.13$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.17 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Wright State Raiders | 53c | 297.38$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.77 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 31c | 274.46$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.53 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Wright State Raiders | 57c | 269.07$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.7 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 47c | 220$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 33c | 212.28$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.49 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked Wright State Raiders | 53c | 205.03$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.71 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 43c | 199.39$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.74 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 8c | 172.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 46c | 172.73$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.38 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fea…9bdbbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 44c | 168.98$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.35 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 10c | 162.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Wright State Raiders | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 43c | 137.61$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.73 | 216 | 46.8%101 W · 115 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Wright State Raiders | 54c | 123.36$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.05 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 44c | 119.75$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 38c | 109.62$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.38 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 47c | 105.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff4…743dbacked Wright State Raiders | 44c | 99.14$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.52 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 49c | 99.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.57 | 167 | 21%35 W · 132 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Wright State Raiders | 45c | 93.98$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.56 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 36c | 84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 45c | 70.88$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.01 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Wright State Raiders | 48c | 53.69$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.92 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd8…5cdbbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 42c | 53.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Wright State Raiders | 55c | 49.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Wright State Raiders | 58c | 49.57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Wright State Raiders | 54c | 49.57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…5bacbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 51c | 46.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 26c | 46.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…2e74backed Wright State Raiders | 56c | 46$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wright State Raiders | 59c | 45.87$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 42c | 45.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 44c | 39.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 43c | 36.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 33c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x140f…0b2ebacked Wright State Raiders | 57c | 34.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Wright State Raiders | 55c | 34.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Wright State Raiders | 46c | 32.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 184 | 39.1%72 W · 112 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 40c | 32.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9c…da16backed Wright State Raiders | 53c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 150 | 66%99 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 62c | 25.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc676…f35cbacked Wright State Raiders | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Wright State Raiders | 60c | 23.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x610d…6c37backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 49c | 23.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wright State Raiders vs. Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodonsthis page
- Spread: Wright State Raiders (-2.5)Wright State Raiders won
- Wright State Raiders vs. Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons: O/U 149.5Under won
- Wright State Raiders vs. Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons: O/U 150.5Under won
- Wright State Raiders vs. Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons: O/U 151.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.