TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Queens (NC) Royals vs. Eastern Kentucky Colonels

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Queens (NC) Royalsof Queens (NC) Royals, Eastern Kentucky Colonels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$18,420
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$19,959

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,420 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels54c3,043$1,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,646.415,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels50c2,716$1,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,362.391,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Queens (NC) Royals41c2,682$1,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,579.193,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Queens (NC) Royals59c2,034$1,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.021,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels44c1,893$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.912,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels45c1,700$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.244,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Queens (NC) Royals28c1,610$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,164.91,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Queens (NC) Royals56c1,221$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.411,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Queens (NC) Royals55c1,065$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.8637947.8%181 W · 198 L-26.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Queens (NC) Royals54c840.18$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.4349345.4%224 W · 269 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Queens (NC) Royals50c450.58$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.972,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels54c444.62$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.992,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels46c401.2$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.71,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels45c297.4$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.832,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Queens (NC) Royals55c280.38$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.2393447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Queens (NC) Royals49c277.3$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.3793247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Queens (NC) Royals55c248.82$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.9739742.8%170 W · 227 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels49c199.95$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.981,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Queens (NC) Royals55c180.24$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.111,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe545…5bacbacked Queens (NC) Royals57c151.6$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.9710347.6%49 W · 54 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels59c127.97$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.52,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels45c99.13$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6116721%35 W · 132 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b15…fa73backed Queens (NC) Royals52c99.13$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5838351.7%198 W · 185 L+0.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Queens (NC) Royals55c98.97$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9262140.4%251 W · 370 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels23c97.17$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.291,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Queens (NC) Royals55c89.69$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1283350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels59c70.34$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.570349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd08…84b0backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels45c66.58$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7429954.2%162 W · 137 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels58c59.48$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.361,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Queens (NC) Royals54c50.02$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0178052.2%407 W · 373 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed Queens (NC) Royals57c49.57$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3252353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels50c39.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8313956.8%79 W · 60 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x140f…0b2ebacked Queens (NC) Royals51c38.87$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.053855.3%21 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+40.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels45c37.01$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6512748.8%62 W · 65 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b5…2e74backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels47c33.64$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7419860.1%119 W · 79 L+15.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+18.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels71c31.32$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3418439.1%72 W · 112 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a1e…21a1backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels64c31.1$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.846566.2%43 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed Queens (NC) Royals52c28.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7316746.1%77 W · 90 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc990…80bbbacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels72c27.69$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.863135.5%11 W · 20 L-5.6wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-37.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2da3…49d2backed Queens (NC) Royals51c22.88$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.114151.2%21 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ae2…8d89backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels45c22.28$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.021866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+33.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x74fe…8243backed Queens (NC) Royals55c21.63$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.738952.8%47 W · 42 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5c3…9792backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels63c19.84$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.527055.6%150 W · 120 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07dd…0876backed Queens (NC) Royals51c19.83$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7123754.4%129 W · 108 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.