TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. American Eagles

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lehigh Mountain Hawksof Lehigh Mountain Hawks, American Eagles
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$16,005
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$15,829

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,005 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6814…a9e7backed American Eagles70c2,667$1,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,860.973,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked American Eagles10c1,312$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.385,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked American Eagles73c1,214$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.41,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks28c1,064$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.9925130.7%77 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks26c1,025$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.651,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked American Eagles72c1,015$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.532,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks28c1,000$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.742045%9 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+36.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks27c646.95$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.8155532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12c3…b054backed Lehigh Mountain Hawks35c567.06$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.6513565.9%89 W · 46 L+12.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks35c566.63$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.564,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks29c499.99$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3552,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed American Eagles71c488.55$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.6693247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed American Eagles50c428.83$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.992,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked American Eagles21c412.2$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.2277142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed American Eagles18c295.63$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.213,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe496…4d8bbacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks26c231.06$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.1817945.8%82 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed American Eagles72c214.35$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.3493447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ff4…743dbacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks20c203.84$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.5614451.4%74 W · 70 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks28c199.27$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.481,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe545…5bacbacked American Eagles75c194.21$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.3910347.6%49 W · 54 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Lehigh Mountain Hawks28c184.4$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.921,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked American Eagles71c173.92$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.1135646.6%166 W · 190 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Lehigh Mountain Hawks29c169.77$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.5481528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks27c143.02$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.432,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks36c133.62$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.031,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Lehigh Mountain Hawks64c130.19$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.571,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks41c87.2$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.451,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked American Eagles72c86.1$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.9912,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc14d…f8b4backed American Eagles58c85.47$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.575933.9%20 W · 39 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked American Eagles16c83.24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.971,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked American Eagles60c78.34$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9971655.3%396 W · 320 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed American Eagles19c71.79$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6170936.1%256 W · 453 L-27.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed American Eagles21c55.87$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.641,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed American Eagles73c49.66$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2564658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked American Eagles25c48$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8927…f5c6backed Lehigh Mountain Hawks29c44.5$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.63520%7 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed American Eagles68c38$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.841,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf72…b4a6backed American Eagles72c34.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.859470.2%66 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed American Eagles72c25$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1843053.3%229 W · 201 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b5…2e74backed American Eagles71c24.75$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5519860.1%119 W · 79 L+15.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+18.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2da3…49d2backed American Eagles76c21.27$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.134151.2%21 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.