Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: UCLA Bruins (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f9c60db5a5a75ccea944d13bc1f50f6ad3494b57843c8d2f7a08e79fb0759f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UCLA Bruinsof UCLA Bruins, USC Trojans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,890
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,019
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,890 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed UCLA Bruins | 59c | 16,926$9,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,015.18 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed USC Trojans | 43c | 8,057$3,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,464.31 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed USC Trojans | 47c | 7,620$3,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,560.92 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed USC Trojans | 39c | 7,274$2,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,836.72 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed UCLA Bruins | 53c | 6,998$3,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,289.24 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked UCLA Bruins | 51c | 472.66$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.31 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed UCLA Bruins | 58c | 468.65$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.48 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked USC Trojans | 47c | 446.44$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.78 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b54…d382backed USC Trojans | 50c | 406.41$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.21 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed UCLA Bruins | 51c | 390.79$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.42 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed USC Trojans | 36c | 379.96$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.12 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf48d…fe48backed UCLA Bruins | 52c | 290$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.2 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked USC Trojans | 41c | 255.8$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.26 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked USC Trojans | 48c | 249.51$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.79 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc5…d36ebacked USC Trojans | 46c | 215.5$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed USC Trojans | 46c | 146.94$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.18 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed USC Trojans | 48c | 144.36$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.29 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed USC Trojans | 48c | 119.94$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.1 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa0…d504backed UCLA Bruins | 52c | 109.04$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.34 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed USC Trojans | 49c | 75.65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked USC Trojans | 52c | 71.37$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.11 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed USC Trojans | 49c | 70.8$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked USC Trojans | 43c | 69.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 322 | 46.6%150 W · 172 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed USC Trojans | 51c | 48.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 326 | 52.8%172 W · 154 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked UCLA Bruins | 51c | 42.64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked USC Trojans | 43c | 39.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed USC Trojans | 47c | 32.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed USC Trojans | 48c | 24.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed USC Trojans | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked UCLA Bruins | 52c | 19.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: UCLA Bruins (-6.5)this page
- Spread: UCLA Bruins (-7.5)UCLA Bruins won
- USC Trojans vs. UCLA BruinsUCLA Bruins won
- USC Trojans vs. UCLA Bruins: O/U 150.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.