Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Indiana State Sycamores vs. Southern Illinois Salukis
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb6caa49ff7f041f8cf0def4e73ca8949335eafdf07a9ee9a60e03541b0ef2b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Southern Illinois Salukisof Indiana State Sycamores, Southern Illinois Salukis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,872
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,976
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,872 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe01a…0354backed Indiana State Sycamores | 20c | 1,553$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 78c | 1,464$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.72 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Indiana State Sycamores | 22c | 777.45$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.04 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 80c | 766.12$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.38 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Indiana State Sycamores | 27c | 688.56$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.13 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…8276backed Indiana State Sycamores | 41c | 612.13$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.45 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 78c | 536.41$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.46 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 60c | 484.16$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.69 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 67c | 449.6$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.86 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 78c | 444$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.68 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Indiana State Sycamores | 28c | 355.09$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.54 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Indiana State Sycamores | 22c | 298.6$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.64 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Indiana State Sycamores | 22c | 281.87$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.01 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 77c | 264$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Indiana State Sycamores | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 77c | 176.38$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.97 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 78c | 165.73$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.46 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe86d…c9eebacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 78c | 161.31$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.49 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Indiana State Sycamores | 34c | 156.8$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.92 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Indiana State Sycamores | 23c | 150.86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Indiana State Sycamores | 22c | 137.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Indiana State Sycamores | 11c | 108.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 79c | 94.39$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Indiana State Sycamores | 26c | 93.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Indiana State Sycamores | 23c | 86.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 79c | 81.49$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeff…7353backed Indiana State Sycamores | 23c | 59.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed Indiana State Sycamores | 22c | 58.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Indiana State Sycamores | 36c | 58.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 78c | 58$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Indiana State Sycamores | 22c | 53.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Indiana State Sycamores | 22c | 52.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…21a1backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 63c | 31.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…2e74backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 78c | 22.54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e16…fe0abacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 78c | 19.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 77cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9c…da16backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 77c | 16.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 150 | 66%99 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc250…5eafbacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 79c | 15.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indiana State Sycamores vs. Southern Illinois Salukisthis page
- Spread: Southern Illinois Salukis (-8.5)Southern Illinois Salukis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.