Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Xavier Musketeers vs. Providence Friars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22e33541f39de0c47616f592fd88682e5737b63219d6ff5a38fb1f1d358caf2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Providence Friarsof Xavier Musketeers, Providence Friars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,047
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,622
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,047 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Providence Friars | 73c | 3,425$2,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.69 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Providence Friars | 72c | 1,710$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.4 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Xavier Musketeers | 30c | 1,588$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.47 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Xavier Musketeers | 32c | 1,310$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.26 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Xavier Musketeers | 27c | 1,111$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.27 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Xavier Musketeers | 30c | 999.98$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Providence Friars | 68c | 913.79$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.87 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Providence Friars | 70c | 829.91$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.6 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Xavier Musketeers | 34c | 664.71$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.24 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0673…0c27backed Providence Friars | 70c | 643.58$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.07 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Xavier Musketeers | 16c | 504.77$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.12 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Xavier Musketeers | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Xavier Musketeers | 29c | 400$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Xavier Musketeers | 9c | 388.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Providence Friars | 69c | 384$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.97 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Providence Friars | 78c | 295.85$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.27 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed Xavier Musketeers | 34c | 291.81$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.21 | 233 | 31.3%73 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed Providence Friars | 70c | 277.83$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.35 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Xavier Musketeers | 24c | 247.41$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.38 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Xavier Musketeers | 30c | 233.29$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Xavier Musketeers | 31c | 223.95$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.02 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Providence Friars | 64c | 202.92$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.05 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Xavier Musketeers | 28c | 202.3$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.3 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5f…56a0backed Xavier Musketeers | 35c | 201.24$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.43 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Providence Friars | 69c | 200.97$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.01 | 430 | 53.3%229 W · 201 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Xavier Musketeers | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Providence Friars | 67c | 199.99$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dca…a7acbacked Xavier Musketeers | 31c | 198.5$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.54 | 252 | 54.8%138 W · 114 L | -15.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Providence Friars | 69c | 173.6$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Providence Friars | 69c | 142.53$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.56 | 128 | 46.9%60 W · 68 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Providence Friars | 69c | 139.71$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.31 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Providence Friars | 79c | 139.63$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Xavier Musketeers | 30c | 128.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.37 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb3…380ebacked Providence Friars | 63c | 111.68$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.42 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Xavier Musketeers | 30c | 106.63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Xavier Musketeers | 32c | 99.95$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Xavier Musketeers | 21c | 71.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Xavier Musketeers | 29c | 60.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 247 | 37.7%93 W · 154 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba6a…1985backed Xavier Musketeers | 32c | 60.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.23per pick | 29cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0f…0fe0backed Providence Friars | 64c | 54.25$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Providence Friars | 68c | 49.62$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Providence Friars | 69c | 48.63$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Xavier Musketeers | 31c | 48.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…cbd5backed Providence Friars | 69c | 43.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed Xavier Musketeers | 32c | 40.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Providence Friars | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 202 | 54.5%110 W · 92 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Providence Friars | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea4b…dedebacked Xavier Musketeers | 31c | 39.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad3e…2c44backed Providence Friars | 69c | 39.7$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…2e74backed Providence Friars | 70c | 36.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Providence Friars | 67c | 31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9c…da16backed Providence Friars | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 150 | 66%99 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2dd6backed Providence Friars | 63c | 19.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Xavier Musketeers vs. Providence Friarsthis page
- Spread: Providence Friars (-6.5)Providence Friars won
- Xavier Musketeers vs. Providence Friars: O/U 169.5Over won
- Xavier Musketeers vs. Providence Friars: O/U 170.5Over won
- Xavier Musketeers vs. Providence Friars: O/U 171.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.