Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Auburn Tigers (-17.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85b0626dce4c609ae635e7c1f548a4575cf86ae76cec27fb414385e12715108c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- South Alabama Jaguarsof Auburn Tigers, South Alabama Jaguars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,297
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,297 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x617b…a499backed Auburn Tigers | 49c | 4,956$2,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,428.57 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked South Alabama Jaguars | 51c | 3,086$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525.78 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed South Alabama Jaguars | 52c | 2,000$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.98 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…3438backed South Alabama Jaguars | 48c | 798.57$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.25 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked South Alabama Jaguars | 50c | 775.08$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.54 | 301 | 52.8%159 W · 142 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Auburn Tigers | 47c | 571.2$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.83 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed South Alabama Jaguars | 49c | 525.36$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.94 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Auburn Tigers | 51c | 481.58$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.81 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Auburn Tigers | 52c | 416.79$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.73 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Auburn Tigers | 51c | 263.62$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.49 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Auburn Tigers | 52c | 209.69$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.04 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Auburn Tigers | 46c | 199.56$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed South Alabama Jaguars | 51c | 194.37$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.24 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…f39cbacked Auburn Tigers | 52c | 187.98$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.75 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked Auburn Tigers | 49c | 101.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.54 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed South Alabama Jaguars | 51c | 88.06$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.15 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed South Alabama Jaguars | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 330 | 58.2%192 W · 138 L | +24.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Auburn Tigers | 46c | 53.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked South Alabama Jaguars | 51c | 47.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.11 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Auburn Tigers | 46c | 42.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Auburn Tigers | 46c | 42.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 241 | 48.5%117 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Auburn Tigers | 46c | 42.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…86d1backed South Alabama Jaguars | 49c | 40.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Auburn Tigers | 46c | 39.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc816…7a20backed South Alabama Jaguars | 52c | 37.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed South Alabama Jaguars | 47c | 34.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked South Alabama Jaguars | 51c | 29.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed South Alabama Jaguars | 51c | 21.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +10.0wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1e87…163cbacked Auburn Tigers | 55c | 19.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Auburn Tigers (-17.5)this page
- South Alabama Jaguars vs. Auburn TigersAuburn Tigers won
- South Alabama Jaguars vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 145.5Under won
- South Alabama Jaguars vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 146.5Under won
- South Alabama Jaguars vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 150.5Under won
- South Alabama Jaguars vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 153.5Under won
- South Alabama Jaguars vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 154.5Under won
- Spread: Auburn Tigers (-16.5)South Alabama Jaguars won
- Spread: Auburn Tigers (-18.5)South Alabama Jaguars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.