TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: Auburn Tigers (-16.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
South Alabama Jaguarsof Auburn Tigers, South Alabama Jaguars
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,720

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,720 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed South Alabama Jaguars48c760.43$368 inWon+$392.665,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked South Alabama Jaguars44c746.22$330 inWon+$416.651,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Auburn Tigers57c594.85$339 inLost-$339.0782048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67f4…87bdbacked Auburn Tigers57c521.8$297 inLost-$297.434245.2%19 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Auburn Tigers55c348.93$190 inLost-$190.4712,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Auburn Tigers56c247.84$139 inLost-$138.791,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Auburn Tigers56c177.03$99 inLost-$99.1483350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed South Alabama Jaguars55c151.19$83 inWon+$67.813,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Auburn Tigers56c88.91$50 inLost-$49.7958652.9%310 W · 276 L+23.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Auburn Tigers29c88.36$26 inLost-$25.629452.1%49 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2de6…e187backed South Alabama Jaguars44c82.62$36 inWon+$46.267546.7%35 W · 40 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked South Alabama Jaguars51c71.35$36 inWon+$34.8730652%159 W · 147 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked South Alabama Jaguars45c61.46$27 inWon+$34.12,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4f1…a074backed Auburn Tigers58c59.83$35 inLost-$34.720%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d6b…591abacked South Alabama Jaguars44c49.25$22 inWon+$27.582642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed South Alabama Jaguars45c35.11$16 inWon+$19.3182846.1%382 W · 446 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed South Alabama Jaguars47c24.38$11 inWon+$12.9414245.8%65 W · 77 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc187…efaabacked Auburn Tigers57c24.35$14 inLost-$13.882642.3%11 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x70fb…d507backed South Alabama Jaguars44c23.69$10 inWon+$13.272969%20 W · 9 L+4.7wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+29.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Auburn Tigers48c23.3$11 inLost-$11.121,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Auburn Tigers49c23$11 inLost-$11.273,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked South Alabama Jaguars62c20.08$13 inWon+$7.5871655.3%396 W · 320 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.