TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: Davidson Wildcats (-10.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
La Salle Explorersof Davidson Wildcats, La Salle Explorers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$91,758
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$100,709

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,758 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xabb8…bba3backed La Salle Explorers54c42,723$23,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,715.4724351.4%125 W · 118 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Davidson Wildcats48c12,230$5,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,870.2769142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked La Salle Explorers40c7,715$3,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,628.9934343.4%149 W · 194 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Davidson Wildcats40c6,966$2,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,786.4814940.3%60 W · 89 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed La Salle Explorers44c6,726$2,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,766.4215556.1%87 W · 68 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+32.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Davidson Wildcats48c3,014$1,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,446.7155840.3%225 W · 333 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Davidson Wildcats48c2,898$1,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,395.855,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Davidson Wildcats52c1,648$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.9627450%137 W · 137 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Davidson Wildcats48c1,560$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.032,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked La Salle Explorers40c1,031$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.7674152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34ca…9de7backed Davidson Wildcats54c1,001$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.2313561.5%83 W · 52 L+12.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+24.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed La Salle Explorers46c741.6$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.0589146.2%412 W · 479 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked La Salle Explorers51c646.88$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.5516054.4%87 W · 73 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked La Salle Explorers45c623.52$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.755,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed La Salle Explorers40c594.96$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.986743.3%29 W · 38 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed La Salle Explorers46c510.66$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.943,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2e3…2e82backed Davidson Wildcats53c468.99$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.825154.9%28 W · 23 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+31.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x198c…6a94backed Davidson Wildcats54c462.62$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.0418846.8%88 W · 100 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Davidson Wildcats48c308.7$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.243,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked La Salle Explorers41c297.67$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.744,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Davidson Wildcats49c242.76$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.951,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2886…9bb2backed La Salle Explorers40c198.32$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.994843.8%21 W · 27 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf836…f39cbacked Davidson Wildcats50c188$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943138.7%12 W · 19 L-4.3wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-26.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed La Salle Explorers47c150.84$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.291,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Davidson Wildcats55c148.7$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.691,16255.2%641 W · 521 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked La Salle Explorers45c125$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.7593941.6%391 W · 548 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Davidson Wildcats49c121.38$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4883350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00ff…f7adbacked La Salle Explorers50c109.51$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.7611252.7%59 W · 53 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Davidson Wildcats49c96.85$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.457959.5%47 W · 32 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Davidson Wildcats52c89.12$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.3413956.8%79 W · 60 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Davidson Wildcats48c79.46$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3364647.5%307 W · 339 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed La Salle Explorers44c77.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.3824951.8%129 W · 120 L+19.1wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+11.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Davidson Wildcats48c65.72$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.337748.1%37 W · 40 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-17.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked La Salle Explorers51c54.52$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9514049.3%69 W · 71 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Davidson Wildcats48c52.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.95248.1%25 W · 27 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Davidson Wildcats40c49.58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.835740.4%23 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed La Salle Explorers41c48.21$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4670936.1%256 W · 453 L-27.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Davidson Wildcats53c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.219522.1%43 W · 152 L-36.3wins-0.19per pick41cpaid-53.7%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Davidson Wildcats51c39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8957655%317 W · 259 L+17.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked La Salle Explorers48c38.5$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0271655.3%396 W · 320 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5767…8cc1backed La Salle Explorers45c28.88$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8814143.3%61 W · 80 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52ca…54f0backed Davidson Wildcats48c25.77$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.465246.2%24 W · 28 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae94…7efbbacked La Salle Explorers65c24.8$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.681747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Davidson Wildcats49c20.41$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1082846.1%382 W · 446 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked La Salle Explorers53c19.92$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3610353.4%55 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.