Tennis · resolved market
Huzhou: Xiyu Wang vs Chengyiyi Yuan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf07365e09d3dd4d2c3d361286c12498c3a8c893e325a11a83f3e64c0d711fb82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xiyu Wangof Xiyu Wang, Chengyiyi Yuan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $126,560
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $151,627
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,560 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd995…2b51backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 7c | 60,958$4,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,179.96 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c3…2e3fbacked Chengyiyi Yuan | 7c | 2,000$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.58 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa39…e4afbacked Chengyiyi Yuan | 2c | 1,828$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…ea3bbacked Chengyiyi Yuan | 6c | 1,500$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.93 | 333 | 46.2%154 W · 179 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c87…98b1backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 2c | 1,498$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 226 | 2.2%5 W · 221 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Chengyiyi Yuan | 5c | 1,270$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.79 | 221 | 13.6%30 W · 191 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…246cbacked Chengyiyi Yuan | 5c | 1,235$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 5c | 1,204$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…2217backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 9c | 1,174$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | +13.2wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 5c | 1,056$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.65 | 423 | 32.4%137 W · 286 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 4c | 781.75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 8c | 622.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Chengyiyi Yuan | 7c | 600$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 4c | 599.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 668 | 31.3%209 W · 459 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ded…9025backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 7c | 598$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 248 | 37.5%93 W · 155 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a7c6backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 5c | 591.24$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8076…85f9backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 6c | 586.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc301…6760backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 10c | 558.87$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 7c | 530$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0c…160cbacked Chengyiyi Yuan | 6c | 389.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe516…14ffbacked Chengyiyi Yuan | 6c | 371.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…2c42backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Chengyiyi Yuan | 4c | 287.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 320 | 31.3%100 W · 220 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8e…1d33backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 6c | 261$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf571…d2dcbacked Chengyiyi Yuan | 7c | 210.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf7…2d12backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 6c | 199$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 5c | 193.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 242 | 28.5%69 W · 173 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebde…1de0backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 8c | 151.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 891 | 34.3%306 W · 585 L | -40.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 8c | 145.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b9…9b4abacked Chengyiyi Yuan | 7c | 136.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf2…d272backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 10c | 101.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.