MLB · resolved market
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c0dfd81b9dfe61a410e934ecc35307aef19038a2f38d247e9b50ce844a64ab1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Twinsof Minnesota Twins, Cleveland Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $254,972
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $244,166
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $254,972 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 46,376$25,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,540.99 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 33,285$19,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,305.36 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 29,198$12,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,630.22 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cleveland Guardians | 15c | 29,175$4,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,501.1 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 21,565$9,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,310.24 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 20,000$7,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,599.98 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Minnesota Twins | 57c | 16,419$9,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,030.47 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Minnesota Twins | 52c | 15,644$8,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,436.3 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 8,943$3,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,155.43 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 6,743$3,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,641.22 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 6,368$3,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,666.37 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 6,041$2,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,302.01 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Minnesota Twins | 62c | 5,479$3,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,093.91 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Cleveland Guardians | 21c | 5,439$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.5 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Cleveland Guardians | 1c | 5,237$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.42 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 5,100$2,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,860.71 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 4,053$1,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,260.45 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 3,506$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 3,354$1,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,731.48 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1b…f28abacked Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 3,066$1,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,747.57 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 3,037$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,761.46 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 2,835$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,634.99 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 2,773$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,541.58 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota Twins | 66c | 2,733$1,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.54 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 2,632$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 2,438$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.7 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Minnesota Twins | 45c | 2,048$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.64 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 11c | 1,921$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.63 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Minnesota Twins | 44c | 1,819$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.21 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.99 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…4b55backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 1,296$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 1,293$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Minnesota Twins | 61c | 1,234$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.93 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 1,131$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.81 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 968.44$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.98 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Cleveland Guardians | 10c | 750$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23e…e4a3backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 695.7$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cleveland Guardians | 12c | 686.5$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.74 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 661$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.77 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 603.45$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 186 | 58.6%109 W · 77 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb1…eac3backed Cleveland Guardians | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cleveland Guardians | 23c | 597.5$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.52 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 591$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.14 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 578.12$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.4 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2972…3f29backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 550$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Cleveland Guardians | 34c | 522.53$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.83 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbeff…a43ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 505.58$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.18 | 179 | 61.5%110 W · 69 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Minnesota Twins | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Minnesota Twins | 65c | 495.93$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.9 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Minnesota Twins | 59c | 471.17$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.4 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b5…7e9abacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 426$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.78 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 419.29$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.23 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Minnesota Twins | 37c | 418.76$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.82 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…712dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cleveland Guardians | 31c | 394.87$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.31 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 380.38$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.82 | 589 | 43.1%254 W · 335 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Cleveland Guardians | 31c | 369.5$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.35 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 369$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.33 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.09 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…5754backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 313.58$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.58 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e5…a482backed Cleveland Guardians | 5c | 308.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dea…5e23backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 284.04$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.88 | 425 | 50.1%213 W · 212 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Minnesota Twins | 59c | 240.77$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.15 | 434 | 59%256 W · 178 L | +19.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 232$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.24 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Minnesota Twins | 79c | 225$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Minnesota Twins | 73c | 222.9$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.82 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 221.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.54 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 215$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.95 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c2…dc0bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 211.86$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 210$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…651abacked Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Minnesota Twins | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc6…1a49backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 198.74$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.13 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -10.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…2398backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 195$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.3 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 194.29$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Cleveland Guardians | 25c | 182.76$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.07 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +26.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7d1dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 179 | 52.5%94 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a21…4aa9backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 174$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.44 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33e3…c60fbacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 172.67$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.24 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 166.2$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.41 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…ba33backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 164.87$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0118…1366backed Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 136.16$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.28 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Minnesota Twins | 45c | 135$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.25 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 134.2$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.15 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 132.74$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.68 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc820…f460backed Cleveland Guardians | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 130$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df3…ddfcbacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 129.63$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardiansthis page
- Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland GuardiansYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.