TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Tennessee Volunteers vs. Kentucky Wildcats

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kentucky Wildcatsof Tennessee Volunteers, Kentucky Wildcats
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$69,361
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$78,747

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,361 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Tennessee Volunteers67c5,438$3,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,654.55,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Tennessee Volunteers50c4,122$2,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,049.181,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Kentucky Wildcats34c3,930$1,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,575.8561446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Kentucky Wildcats51c3,590$1,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,773.932,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x309f…9282backed Kentucky Wildcats62c3,193$1,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.391662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Kentucky Wildcats15c2,658$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,253.671,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Kentucky Wildcats18c2,205$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,797.872,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cea…b12dbacked Kentucky Wildcats29c2,039$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,438.816023.3%14 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-32.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Kentucky Wildcats53c2,000$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.799250%46 W · 46 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kentucky Wildcats27c1,893$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,389.135,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Tennessee Volunteers47c1,707$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.4212,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Kentucky Wildcats50c1,597$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.7474152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed Tennessee Volunteers46c1,590$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.3912646.8%59 W · 67 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Kentucky Wildcats54c1,562$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.311,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Kentucky Wildcats12c1,558$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3772,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Tennessee Volunteers71c1,065$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.73,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8a4…9e63backed Kentucky Wildcats32c984.83$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.831266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+36.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9e5…eb6abacked Tennessee Volunteers50c827.69$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.9215733.1%52 W · 105 L-10.9wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Kentucky Wildcats33c800.87$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.621,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Tennessee Volunteers67c743.58$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.192,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9030…4a23backed Kentucky Wildcats52c685.87$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.874548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Kentucky Wildcats48c682.84$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.8443450%217 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Tennessee Volunteers37c659.16$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.2831646.8%148 W · 168 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Kentucky Wildcats26c609.34$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.273,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Tennessee Volunteers49c600.48$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.221,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Tennessee Volunteers2c600$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1024121.2%51 W · 190 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick16cpaid+299%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Tennessee Volunteers57c546$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.7472248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Kentucky Wildcats37c540.8$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.824649.6%122 W · 124 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a61…1787backed Kentucky Wildcats14c486.93$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.7616445.1%74 W · 90 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Tennessee Volunteers59c471.82$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.434,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Tennessee Volunteers69c428.36$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.6599848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Kentucky Wildcats51c419.99$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.816051.3%82 W · 78 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Tennessee Volunteers68c419.63$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.9277142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ef…7be6backed Kentucky Wildcats51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1965855.2%32 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Kentucky Wildcats33c354.03$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.032828.6%8 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3be6…05b1backed Tennessee Volunteers50c340$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1704257.1%24 W · 18 L+6.1wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+34.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Kentucky Wildcats34c293.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.5740252.7%212 W · 190 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x348f…a206backed Tennessee Volunteers53c264.52$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1414645.7%21 W · 25 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Kentucky Wildcats38c262.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.41,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dc5…7708backed Kentucky Wildcats40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15011028.2%31 W · 79 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Tennessee Volunteers52c243.5$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.753,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Kentucky Wildcats32c229.97$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.5287047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Tennessee Volunteers49c217$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.331,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Kentucky Wildcats40c214.99$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.961,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa60…9b86backed Tennessee Volunteers79c210$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.99769.1%67 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick69cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Tennessee Volunteers71c199.14$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.338345.4%174 W · 209 L-18.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Kentucky Wildcats51c196$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.041,07447%505 W · 569 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Kentucky Wildcats50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9781453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed Kentucky Wildcats57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.443652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb8d…da9dbacked Kentucky Wildcats47c167.67$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.672035%7 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Kentucky Wildcats34c160$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.834952.1%182 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Tennessee Volunteers25c156.5$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.441,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdda1…cd81backed Kentucky Wildcats29c149.27$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.96450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+75.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Tennessee Volunteers73c148.57$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.531,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Tennessee Volunteers58c138.47$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803737.8%14 W · 23 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-23.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Kentucky Wildcats54c136$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.7760548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Kentucky Wildcats47c135.14$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.6244146.5%205 W · 236 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Kentucky Wildcats48c135.11$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.841,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Tennessee Volunteers49c122.44$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Kentucky Wildcats49c118.9$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.6368254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Tennessee Volunteers50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5041554.2%225 W · 190 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07aa…63bfbacked Tennessee Volunteers50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505050%25 W · 25 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b50…87fbbacked Tennessee Volunteers50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506756.7%38 W · 29 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Kentucky Wildcats13c95.58$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.5736845.7%168 W · 200 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf606…440abacked Kentucky Wildcats50c85$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.518349.2%90 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf628…ba6fbacked Tennessee Volunteers49c77.48$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.975341.5%22 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Tennessee Volunteers66c75.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9570349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Kentucky Wildcats44c72$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3857655%317 W · 259 L+17.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Tennessee Volunteers49c71.06$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.971,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Tennessee Volunteers48c68.63$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.941442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-21.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8af9…c3e8backed Kentucky Wildcats23c65.22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.225358.5%31 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+21.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Kentucky Wildcats55c63.64$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6435646.6%166 W · 190 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4855…6a41backed Tennessee Volunteers51c60.78$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3132652.8%172 W · 154 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Tennessee Volunteers49c59.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.42,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc01…d914backed Kentucky Wildcats59c59.89$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6212537.6%47 W · 78 L+0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Kentucky Wildcats28c54.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1419138.2%73 W · 118 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Tennessee Volunteers50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Tennessee Volunteers50c44$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Kentucky Wildcats41c41.59$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5917647.2%83 W · 93 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Kentucky Wildcats43c40$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6327358.6%160 W · 113 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tennessee Volunteers60c39.05$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.431,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3754…2d4ebacked Kentucky Wildcats53c32.71$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.372142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-23.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x850a…e5dbbacked Tennessee Volunteers77c32.47$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2518167.4%122 W · 59 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Kentucky Wildcats53c30.19$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1939050.5%197 W · 193 L-34.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Tennessee Volunteers46c28.57$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.144,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0703…874cbacked Tennessee Volunteers74c27.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid+13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68c4…d7dfbacked Tennessee Volunteers47c21.28$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1017634.7%61 W · 115 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+20.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d17…32d8backed Tennessee Volunteers75c21$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.692564%16 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba88…ec75backed Kentucky Wildcats52c20.22$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Kentucky Wildcats50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1064658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcba…2398backed Kentucky Wildcats50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x085d…5302backed Tennessee Volunteers64c17.82$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.413550.4%68 W · 67 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed Tennessee Volunteers65c16.02$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4815037.3%56 W · 94 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Tennessee Volunteers73c15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9230945.6%141 W · 168 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.