NHL · resolved market
KHL: CSKA Moscow vs. Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52a5cc35239e310c0adae012734b044772f9b74e54bc1293841310e9465d6502
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CSKA Moscowof CSKA Moscow, Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,531
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,865
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,531 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc1c2…e460backed CSKA Moscow | 11c | 12,873$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,456.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.91per pick | 10cpaid | +979.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05aa…22f4backed CSKA Moscow | 68c | 767.01$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked CSKA Moscow | 67c | 601.99$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.62 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 33c | 454.55$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 31c | 449.94$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.48 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 33c | 400.05$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.02 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 33c | 373.3$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.19 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed CSKA Moscow | 70c | 300.24$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.24 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2993…24d6backed CSKA Moscow | 11c | 190$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +809.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b98…5cfabacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 33c | 139.81$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.74 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 32c | 106.09$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed CSKA Moscow | 68c | 102.29$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75b…b4f5backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.34 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed CSKA Moscow | 50c | 53.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 337 | 35%118 W · 219 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…2398backed CSKA Moscow | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 24c | 45.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked CSKA Moscow | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 212 | 53.3%113 W · 99 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebf…b798backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 33c | 35.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed CSKA Moscow | 67c | 35.61$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +19.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 32c | 35.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb834…6487backed CSKA Moscow | 68c | 34.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked CSKA Moscow | 69c | 33.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d1…4cb7backed CSKA Moscow | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked CSKA Moscow | 68c | 18.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.