Tennis · resolved market
Bloomfield Hills: Roger Pascual vs Masamichi Imamura
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc919ddf7450515cf2b519ef95d879467fc3b178b348c2c76c84d734cb65ebf64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Roger Pascualof Roger Pascual, Masamichi Imamura
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,358
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,235
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,358 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Roger Pascual | 58c | 12,502$7,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,201.93 | 254 | 53.1%135 W · 119 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Masamichi Imamura | 42c | 7,641$3,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,171.23 | 4,466 | 67.7%3,023 W · 1,443 L | +299.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Masamichi Imamura | 37c | 2,845$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.94 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Masamichi Imamura | 8c | 1,049$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.45 | 4,126 | 44.6%1,842 W · 2,284 L | +13.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Masamichi Imamura | 6c | 600$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 320 | 31.3%100 W · 220 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Masamichi Imamura | 41c | 425.63$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.35 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…fb10backed Roger Pascual | 58c | 402.45$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.45 | 440 | 56.1%247 W · 193 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Masamichi Imamura | 10c | 268.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 299 | 32.8%98 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Masamichi Imamura | 42c | 248.04$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.18 | 1,143 | 41.3%472 W · 671 L | +23.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…8924backed Masamichi Imamura | 46c | 244.64$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.26 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Masamichi Imamura | 41c | 240$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.4 | 1,534 | 42.4%651 W · 883 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Masamichi Imamura | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.5 | 264 | 41.7%110 W · 154 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Masamichi Imamura | 10c | 198.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed3a…68f1backed Roger Pascual | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +145.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…2398backed Roger Pascual | 54c | 118.39$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.46 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Masamichi Imamura | 50c | 113.8$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.9 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Masamichi Imamura | 43c | 110.21$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 2,394 | 38.4%920 W · 1,474 L | +87.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…29a1backed Masamichi Imamura | 15c | 89.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Masamichi Imamura | 43c | 85$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 3,809 | 45.4%1,730 W · 2,079 L | -35.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Masamichi Imamura | 19c | 81.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 6,740 | 48.8%3,288 W · 3,452 L | +58.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Masamichi Imamura | 26c | 79.44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 5,288 | 56.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L | +231.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Roger Pascual | 55c | 46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Masamichi Imamura | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5,199 | 28.8%1,496 W · 3,703 L | -18.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1435backed Masamichi Imamura | 46c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 390 | 35.9%140 W · 250 L | -61.1wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5331…3672backed Masamichi Imamura | 46c | 41.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 313 | 47.6%149 W · 164 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0da8…54afbacked Roger Pascual | 57c | 34.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Masamichi Imamura | 45c | 32.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 922 | 37.4%345 W · 577 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee4…8804backed Roger Pascual | 59c | 24.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Masamichi Imamura | 46c | 24.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Roger Pascual | 56c | 17.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 1,002 | 50.2%503 W · 499 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.